Thursday 7 May 2009

One has to love the Warrnambool Cup carnival. It compacts exciting flat and jumps racing, a huge crowd, great atmosphere and always brings out the do gooder animal activists when there is a fall in a jumps event. There are falls every day, some injure jockeys, some injure the equine, some incidents injure neither. There was a nasty fall at the Gold Coast yesterday, not a word spoken about that by animal activists, however the furore they have deliberately started about the fall in the Galleywood hurdle yesterday at Warrnambool is laughable if one takes in the big picture. Most of the horses running over the jumps at The Bool this week would have been sent to the knackery by now if there was no hope for them over the obstacles as their flat careers were well and truly over. And Racing Victoria have watered down the jumps so much, Australian jumps racing is a joke amongst other racing nations. The jumps are so small, my pet 2 month old puppy could sail over them without touching them or injuring himself. They are not really obstacles at all, if you watch closely, the horses barely take a decent leap at any of them. Oh well, you just have to love the Bool.

A magnificent victory yesterday in the Wangoom by Arch Symbol. Local training partnership Team Wilde specifically prepared the 4yo gelding for the race as early as last year and he was trained to the minute for yesterday's assignment. Perfectly ridden by Aaron Spiteri, Arch Symbol has a soft run just off a fast speed, hit the front at the top of the straight and narrowly held off late challenges by Time Matters and particularly Bocuse, who did look a touch unlucky. Another bound, Bocuse probably wins, however Arch Symbol got his head down right on the line to secure a gallant and deserved victory.

Team Wilde saddle another horse in today's Cup who they have specifically set for the race. The aptly named Golden Snake gelding Hissing Sid, comes into the 2350m event off a commanding victory at Flemington 11 days ago over 2000m. He won by nearly 5 lengths that day, and will be extremely hard to beat today. Regular jockey Wayne Hokai will steer, and he knows Warrnambool as of it was his home, so from barrier 5 he should give Sidney the run of the race. Strong field against him, however Team Wilde has aimed the gelding at this race since last May, and and have left no stone unturned to ensure he is spot on for the Cup. It will be an amazing feat of the Wildes can bring off the Wangoom/Cups double, as I cannot recall the last time this was done by one trainer.

Hissing Sid a good bet today at The Bool. Good luck and profitable punting to all.

Wednesday 6 May 2009

Wangoom day at The Bool today and it brings together one of the strongest line ups seen in the race for many years. Most of the combatants would not be out of place in a Newmarket Handicap. In saying that, there are probably several who simply cannot win and we should discount them straight off the top. Stanzout is completely out of form, Stormhill is first up and looking for further, Threedee is first up and out of form, ditto Benelli & King Johannes, Game Serena is poorly drawn and wants further, while Amerryking & Apple Lode have been in better form. That takes care of half the field, however  strong cases can be made for the other 8 as winning chances. Oliver on top weight Time Matters who is the class horse is a real concern for punters as Ollie would not have come to Warrnambool without thinking he had a winning chance in the big two flat races. First up from a spell is a worry, a distance below his best is also, but he has a winning hope if he produces his best. Juggle the Books has had one run back from a spell to fit him for this, trained on the track, a definite hope. Bond Street is a very good horse, first up a slight concern, however if he can get an easy lead he will be in the finish. Those who saw Bocuse win at Sandown last start will be on him today. Settled back last and stormed home, so the 1200m should suit today. If the track is favouring swoopers come Wangoom time, then Bocuse is a distinct winning chance. On their day, both Crown Ruby & Borugino could win this race, however they are a risk first up from a spell. We've settled on Arch Symbol, in form, trained on the track, well drawn, will sit just off a pace that should be on from the outset. Likes the sting out of the ground and will be well ridden by Aaron Spiteri. Arch Symbol has been set specifically for the race by trainer Billy Wilde, who is looking to win the double of the Wangoom & tomorrow's Cup. In a tough race, Arch Symbol should be each way odds and give us a great run for our money.

Good luck and profitable punting to all.

Tuesday 5 May 2009

The time honoured Warrnambool jumps carnival has arrived for another year, and 2009 looks to be as big as it gets in the deep south of Victoria. Many highlights to look forward to, today the Brierly Steeple takes place, tomorrow the 1200m sprint the Wangoom Handicap, with Thursday presenting punters with the legendary Grand Annual Steeplechase along the Warrnambool Cup. The township double in size over the first week in May, motels & hotels booked out for months in advance to cope with the influx. If you haven't taken in the Warrnambool carnival before, it is a must for all keen race goers at least once in their life. Take a week to see not only the racing action, also all the spectacular sights along the Great Ocean Road on the way. Spend a night at the picturesque Port Fairy, where not one poker machine inhabits the township. There is also a traditional Irish town ship just north of the Bool that should not missed.

The track is generally rain affected early in May, so punters should be looking for horses that can handle the sting out of the ground. Locally trained gallopers have a distinct advantage at The Bool and usually win the majority of races. Trainers set their charges specifically for races over the carnival, so form reversals and upset results are the norm over the 3 days.

Jumps racing is not generally our forte when it comes to punting, however there is no more spectacular sight than watching the steeplechasers run across roads, into nearby paddocks, run clockwise one lap then anti clockwise the next, something not to be missed.

Very much looking forward to the next 3 days. We have a good thing later in the carnival, so please watch this space.

Good luck and profitable punting to all.

Sunday 9 November 2008

Review, Stakes Day 2008

Highlight - All Silent's devastating win in the Group 1 Emirates Stakes. If he keeps on improving then he could be a Cox Plate horse this time next year.

Lowlight - Apache Cat's disappointing run. Let's hope all is well with him.

Run Of The Day - Flying Ruby

Ride Of The Day - Dwayne Dunn on All Silent

Horse To Follow - Causeyacan

Never Again - Capuchin

Thursday 6 November 2008

VRC Oaks Preview

The third day of the Flemington Spring carnival welcomes all those from the fairer sex with open arms. On the 9 race program no less than 4 are dedicated to fillies and/or mares, there will be fashions on the field, women strutting their stuff across Flemington with gay abandon. Yes, it truly is ladies day.

The Oaks itself brings together 17 3yo fillies, well almost all are actually 3 years old, some won't physically turn 3 for another week or two. They race against each other over 2500m, the distance over which the VRC Derby was run on Saturday, and all are running over that distance for the first time in their lives. Not one has been over a journey any further than 2000m in their short careers, thus they are all jumping at least 500m in their endeavours to the coveted Group 1. Of the 17 acceptors, 5 have never even won one race before, they are maidens, trying to win a Group 1 event. On top of that, there are another 6 fillies who have only won one lifetime race. This is not exceptional, it happens every year, with fillies attempting to win that pinnacle black type so important to breeders, despite the fact they are too young, too inexperienced, and some simply not good enough to ever win at the elite level. Media moguls then become extremely excited every time a former Oaks winner steps out on to the race track, believing their achievements as a 3yo filly takes them to status far above mortal equines. This, it rarely if ever does.

In the 2008 version of the Oaks, we again see an odds on favourite in the shape of the Kris Lees trained Samantha Miss. Now Samantha is no ordinary 3yo filly. She has had 10 starts before her Oaks assignment, winning 6 including two Group 1 events, one against the boys in the Champagne Stakes at Randwick back in April. She has also run 3 placings, including a tremendous effort last start in the Group 1 WFA W S Cox Plate over 2040m at Moonee Valley, beaten only 1.2 lengths by Maldivian. So our girl Samantha is entitled to be around the $1.80 mark for the Oaks, as none of her rivals can boast more than two race victories, let alone two at the highest level. And which of her rivals could we even consider in our wildest dreams could possibly secure a position in the field, let alone run a place as a 3yo filly in a Cox Plate? None, exactly. Samantha Miss deserves favouritism.

Nevertheless, there is always the uncertainty of racing. She is well drawn in barrier 3, regular jockey Hugh Bowman will ride, a welcome return after he could not make the weight in the Cox Plate. He will give her the run of the race in behind the speed, bring her clear in the straight to allow her to let down her devastating final finish. But will she run out the 2500m? She has now had 5 runs in from a spell, including that gut buster at Moonee Valley when everyone thought on the home turn she was just going to unleash and blouse them all. She petered on her run that day, almost losing third place to Zarita. Has she had enough? We will only be able to answer these questions at around 3:05pm Melbourne time. If she runs the 2500m, she still has her zest for racing, and class prevails, she will win, like many other top class 3yo fillies before her. Nevertheless, we won't be taking any tomato sauce odds on offer to find out if the moon and young Samantha are in sync when the Oaks field jumps away.

There should be plenty of pace in the race, Estee has led at her latest two runs, most recently on Saturday in the Wakeful, the traditional lead up to the Oaks, and on both occasions she has fought on tenaciously, with all due respect to the leader biased tracks on which she was running. Roobles & Lunar Lights will also go forward, and with so many racing over the 2500m for the first time, there are sure to be another one or two who pull hard and have to to allowed to run toward the lead. So there will be plenty of pace on, which should suit Samantha Miss. However, this will also suit a few others who will obtain nice runs in the race as well. Miss Scarlatti has unfortunately drawn very badly, and will have to go back from the alley, if she goes forward, that would be tantamount to suicide, however a fast pace will suit and she will be running on at the finish. If she can keep in touch as the field approaches the turn, then will figure in the finish.

Okay, hands up all who saw the run of Kimillsy on Saturday in the Wakeful? You are all very clever cherubs, aren't you. Yes, it was a run to take note of, to write down in that little black book you hide from all others, or even simply make a mental note of and keep repeating to yourself, "back her next time, back her next time."  Kimillsy had been a little one paced at her previous two runs, behind Samantha Miss & Gallica, however she rocketed to the line in the Wakeful, and if she repeats that run in the Oaks, she will nearly win.

The Oaks is a race lacking plenty of depth, and whichever filly gets the best run in transit, and then is able to run a strong 2500m, that is the filly who will win. Which filly that will be, we won't know until after the race. There are only a handful of winning chances, however we cannot encourage any one to take odds on about any horse at their first attempt at 2500m. If you insist on betting, take exotics around Samantha Miss, Kimillsy, Estee & Miss Scarlatti. If you insist on having a win bet, then the odds offered about Kimillsy are far more attractive than those being offered for Samantha Miss.

Remember the winning odds for all the Group 1 races so far at Flemington this Spring. Then understand, there are a couple of far better bets on the program, than guessing whether an inexperienced 3yo filly can run out a strong 2500m at their first attempt.

Good luck and profitable punting to all.

Wednesday 5 November 2008

Spring 2008 - The Year Of The Long Shots

No matter what happens on Oaks day tomorrow at Flemington, or the final day of the 2008 spring carnival on Saturday, this year will have to be remembered as the year punters were sent packing without even the shirt on their backs. The win of Viewed yesterday in the Melbourne Cup at odds of over $40 on all Australian totes, has capped off a spring carnival that will have most punters shaking their heads as to how they are supposed to find these winners. It has been a spring for despised outsiders, winning almost every Group 1 race on offer, with the exception of the Caulfield Guineas some 3 weeks ago.

Let's have a look at the winners of the major races thus far:-

Caulfield Cup - All The Good  $41 SP

W S Cox Plate - Maldivian  $12 SP

VRC Derby - Rebel Raider  $101 SP

Melbourne Cup - Viewed  $41 SP

Now, I suppose Maldivian was not what you would call a monstrous outsider winning the Cox Plate. Nevertheless, he was not in the first 5 favourites on the day and started $12 in a field of 12, after a dismal performance in the Caulfield Cup the week prior. What he did Cox Plate day was a form reversal of decent proportions, it must be said.

All The Good was a last start winner at Newmarket by over 3 lengths, so maybe he simply got under Australian punters guard. However Rebel Raider ran a meek 3rd in the Geelong Classic, a race rarely proving a strong form line for the Derby. In fact Rebel Raider was beaten over 3 lengths at Geelong, and was correctly sent out at 100/1 in the Derby. Viewed had had 4 runs back following his Brisbane Cup win on a bog track back in June, beaten soundly at every one of those runs this spring. Certainly, Viewed, Rebel Raider & Maldivian all put in form reversals that fooled most punters on the day. So, punters rightly or as it turned out wrongly, ignored all four of these Group 1 winners. If we go back to the time honoured Turnbull Stakes a month ago, where Weekend Hussler was sent out a long odds on favourite, he duely missed a place, the rot for punters starting way back in early October.

The Caulfield Guineas has turned out to be one of the only major races where form lines stood up and punters got it right, when the Mark Kavanagh trained Whobegotyou was victorious at $1.60, not the most succulent of odds for which punters search. Nevertheless, a winner is a winner this spring and Whobegotyou is almost the only horse to put some money back into punters pockets. Northern Meteor, admittedly started very short priced favourite in the Group 1 Coolmore on Saturday, however it must be said this is not one of the big 6 or 7 races of the spring.

So, why have the majority of the favourites been failing? Why are these long priced horses consistently winning throughout the spring of 2008?

There are several reasons for this. Firstly, most of these beaten favourites have been well under the odds, and most have actually been false favourites. The strength & depth of Australian horses, especially at the top level has evened out so much over the past few years, it doesn't take much to go wrong for the favourite's chances to go awry in a race. Favourites require everything to go their way, as do every other horse in the race for that matter to win the race. Being used up early, sitting a little wide  without any cover, taking off too early, horses placed in unsuitable races over unsuitable distances all of these issues will accumulate to get a favourite or any other horse beaten. Horses who win these top class races, generally have everything go their way, receiving a nice easy run with cover, getting clear at the right time, not being used up early, and of course being placed by the trainer in the right race over the right distance. Media hype plays a massive part in making horses false favourites, as we saw with Weekend Hussler & Whobegotyou. Weekend Hussler was a sprinter miler attempting to win staying races in a year that most thought the WFA ranks were down in class. He simply didn't stay. Whobegotyou was jumping 500m in distance in attempting to win the Derby, a fact clearly forgotten by punters carried away with the media hype surrounding the horses chances. At least the winner Rebel Raider only jumped 300m from the Geelong run to the Derby. As for the Melbourne Cup, I don't know how many times I watched a replay of Septimus winning in Ireland at his most recent start before the Cup, winning by a massive 13 lengths. Alas, what every pundit forgot to mention to punters was this victory was on a bog track, and Septimus would be racing on a hard surface come Cup day. And how many times did we see a replay of Mad Rush's excellent 4th in the Caulfield Cup, pundits drooling over it as a great guide to his chances in the Melbourne Cup. What pundits did not tell punters, was that Mad Rush had never won a race beyond 2400m, his best distance, the distance of the Caulfield Cup not the Melbourne Cup, and was a massive query over the 3200m yesterday. The media has plenty to answer for in assisting to make these horses short priced false favourites. If the media is going to push horses, then they should give out all the facts, not just the one's that suit them to make a story.

The other major issue is track bias, which is an alley that Racing Victoria forbid most journalists covering the carnival to walk down. Caulfield over its 3 day carnival in October was a disgrace, with few or no horses making up ground in any race. The committee moved the rain around on all 3 days in an attempt to lure punters into the  belief the track was playing fairly, and with the assistance of the media, most punters were duped. Fact is, other than a handful of events, front runners on the fence were advantaged, alas, nothing changed when we arrived at Flemington last Saturday. The only races where horses seem to be able to make ground at Flemington this year is in long distance races. The 1400m & 1600m races around the circuit, horses simply have to be in the first 2 or 3 to have any winning hope, and the straight races are the same.

Another issue is that punters are all becoming sheep. They follow media hype, they look for the obvious form lines because they are what most of the racing media tend to focus on. In yesterday's Melbourne up for example, plenty of media wanted to spruik Bart Cummings chances of winning a 12th Cup. However they focussed on Saturday's Saab winner Moatize, not the Brisbane Cup winner Viewed. Thus, Viewed went out at $41 (gross overs), Moatize $12 (gross unders), and we all know the result. Punters listen to the radio, to the racing stations on television, and follow what is fed to them. They look at form guides in the same way every time they pick one up, not just one punter, but the majority of punters. Therefore, some horses who should be $2.50 in the market come up as $1.50 chances, way under the odds. There was a glaring example of this in the last at Flemington yesterday with favourite Daintree Duke. His true price was around the $2.75 mark, however he had been odds on with bookmakers since acceptances came out on Saturday evening. Why? Because of the massive media hype surrounding him. In the end, he was beaten, albeit unluckily, by Danzylum who sat close to the pace all the way and held on strongly to the finish.

So what will happen in the Oaks tomorrow? How many punters will keenly jump on odds on favourite Samantha Miss after her great 3rd in the W S Cox Plate for tomorrow 3yo fillies classic? Going by what has transpired thus far this spring, plenty will, and once again they will get burnt. Samantha Miss is the class horse of the race, however, like Whobegotyou on Saturday, is jumping 500m from the Plate to the Oaks, and we know what happened to Whobegotyou at his short quote. She is long odds on, and terrible value for any punter to consider backing. Punters have to get smarter, either look for value, or simply don't have a bet. What, I hear you cry! Don't have a bet! Yes, show some discipline, either look for one over the odds, or wait for another race. Don't listen to media hype, especially when 3 or 4 different outlets spruik the same horse, it will be under the odds. Leave it alone, wait for it to fail under the pressure of such support, then jump on at subsequent starts when the odds are right.

The final group 1 of the carnival is run on Saturday over the 1600m at Flemington, however we won't see an odds on pop in that race. So punters should get good value for their money in the race. Nevertheless, the media will hype up one or two who are sure to be well in the market come jump time, as well as being way under their true odds. So punters beware.

The media is a most important factor in the racing industry. It simply would not survive the way it is without the media. However, all facets of the media must take their jobs far more seriously than they do now. All they look for is a story, and when several all jump on the one horse it comes up way under the odds, and generally gets beaten. The media always try to make a hero, a so called champion. Unfortunately they did this with Weekend Hussler & Whobegotyou, as there were no other horses consistently winning this spring. We should all allow the horses to make their own stories, allow the horses on track performances to influence our judgement, maybe then, punters will get back on the right track.

Good luck and profitable punting to all.

Monday 3 November 2008

Melbourne Cup Form Guide

The race that stops the nation is again upon us, and we should do it justice with a complete run down on every acceptor:-

1. Septimus - Comes to Australia with a big reputation and a couple of massive winning margins next to his name, albeit on rain affected surfaces. He is without doubt the class horse of the field, however does have the impost of 58.5kg to carry because of that. The major issue with him other than a dry track is whether he has travelled well, settled in & acclimatised well and eaten up since his arrival. If he has, and there is some rain in Melbourne he will be very hard to beat. Johnny Murtagh is a concern as he has no experience under Australian conditions, there will be plenty of pace on in the Cup and he won't be able to afford the luxury of a wide trip with Septimus. Too many ofs and buts with him, however given his favoured wet track conditions, he would nearly win.

2. Master O'Reilly - Our old favourite who fronts up again this year after what must be said a dismal failure last year. He appeared not to run the trip last year, however his preparation this time has been completely different and his runs at WFA have been very good, especially in the Turnbull here at Flemington. His run in the Caulfield Cup was outstanding, however it must be remembered the 2400m at Caulfield is his pet track & distance winning twice and finishing second twice there in a 5 start career. Last start he got caught at the rear in the Cox Plate off a very slow speed, so the run can be overlooked. In saying that, Princess Coup finished back with him that day and she showed nothing in the MacKinnon on Saturday. He will get a great run from the barrier, so given he will do no work in the run, Vlad Duric should have the opportunity to bring him down the outside with one last crack at the leaders in the straight. On his best, a good each way chance, if he runs like last year, no chance at all.

3. Honolulu - From the same stable as the top weight Septimus & does have acceptable credentials on firm going. However, when he has struck a good track, his form does fall away which is an important factor. The two biggest issues for him will be the barrier (24) combined with the inexperienced jockey Colm O'Donohue who has never ridden here in Australia. The pace of Australian races are completely different to European races, and if O'Donohue does get caught wide in the run, then his race is all but over. We have wondered if trainer Aiden O'Brien actually considers him a winning chance, or if he has brought him over as a pacemaker for Septimus, regrettably, we won't know this until the field has gone 250m. On his best form, he has a chance, however again, not knowing if he has travelled well and settled in is a major concern. Each way hope only, maybe include in exotics, however the stablemate does look a far better proposition.

4. Cest La Guerre - New Zealand Derby winner earlier this year, who was purchased by an Australian syndicate including Lloyd Williams, Simon O'Donnell & John Singleton. At least trainer John Sadler won't have any troubles being paid his monthly bill with names like those in the ownership. Cest La Guerre's best form is on rain affected tracks, he won the Derby on a heavy surface, he simply hasn't recaptured that sort of form since his arrival in Australia. If the track becomes rain affected, then he is in the race up to his ears of he can run the 3200m out strongly. However, on a dry surface, he is an each way hope at best.

5. Nom Du Jeu - AJC Derby runner up back in April, who has really improved since his arrival in Australia this time. His run in the Caulfield Cup from the outside barrier was nothing short of sensational, arguably the best run on the day, and the Caulfield Cup has always been considered the best guide to a runners chances in the Melbourne Cup. If he reproduces that run, he is in this race right up to his ears. His sire Montjeu only throws stayers and his mum, Prized Gem, won a Brisbane Cup for trainer Murray Baker a few years back, so the 3200m should be perfect for him. He has performed on rain affected going if the rains come, is perfectly drawn in barrier 1 to get a good smother, and will be well ridden by ex patriot South African Jeff Lloyd. Plenty to like about Nom Du Jeu, he has an excellent winning chance and must be included in all forms of betting on the race.

6. Yellowstone - When I first glanced at this 5yo entire's form and saw 54.1 next to his name, I thought that was the weight he carried at his most recent start. Alas, it was actually the margin by which Septimus defeated him. Now, despite the track being heavy that day, despite the fact he drops a massive 8kg on that WFA performance, along with the jockey being far too inexperienced in Australian conditions plus we have no idea whether he has travelled and acclimatised, barrier 12 means he will need plenty of luck in running, etc etc etc. No, leave him out.

7. Zipping - Seems to have been around the top for years this 7yo gelding, however on his day, is as good as the local horses can produce for this race. His run in the Turnbull Stakes was excellent, his subsequent run in the Cox Plate coming from a long way back and circling the field was also outstanding. If he can produce a run equivalent to either of those, then he has a realistic winning chance. Regrettably, there are a couple of him, so we have to take him on trust. 7yos have an absolutely woeful record in the Melbourne Cup, he ahs drawn barrier 16, which although it sounds ordinary, that will probably suit him so he can back with cover and run home late. If the real Zipping attends Flemington tomorrow, then he will run a great race. Each way, place, exotic chance only.

8. Mad Rush - Those who saw this English stayer's Caulfield Cup run, were in a mad rush to get on him in the big one. Damian Oliver has a terrific record in the Melbourne Cup, rides Flemington like he was planted there as a youngster instead of a tuft of grass and from barrier 4, one can only see the 5yo entire obtaining the gun run of the race. There are a couple of queries about, especially distance wise compared to the other European horses, as he has not won past 2380m. He has not won on rain affected going, plus he has only won 2 races. How many local Class 2 horses would we ever see line up in a Melbourne Cup? Very few is the answer to that question. So he has to be at his impeccable peak for tomorrow's affair. Can he win? Yes, he is one of the top overseas chances, as long as he can run out the 3200m strongly enough. Definite winning hope, must include in all forms of exotic bets.

9. Ice Chariot - It is commendable indeed that Kevin O'Brien has a runner in the 2008 version of the Cup. As an owner he is terrific for racing, a most likable bloke & enjoys every minute he spends on a race track. There should be more Kevin and Tanith O'Briens in this world. Alas, Ice Chariot would have to start 30 seconds before the rest of the field to have any winning hope. Admittedly, he has qualified, as a Derby winner, however his form is simply not good enough to beat most of his opponents tomorrow. No.

10. Viewed - Bart Cummings is the Cups King, he trains this 5yo entire, and always has his horses cherry ripe for Cup day. Nevertheless, what in goodness's name is this bloke doing in the field? He has shown no form whatsoever this preparation, after winning the 2400m Brisbane Cup in June, on a bog track with an over exaggerated winning margin. Comfortably held at each of his 4 runs this time, he would have to improve dramatically to figure in the finish of this race, or even the Lavazza Long Black run a couple of hours earlier tomorrow. No.

11. Littorio - Following his Turnbull Stakes win a month ago at Flemington, this 4yo gelding firmed dramatically in markets for both big Cups. And so he should have, the win was brilliant coming from a long way back in the field to win comfortably by a length. Unfortunately, his two subsequent runs have been most disappointing, culminating in what has to be said a shocker on Saturday in the Mackinnon. Blinkers go off tomorrow, however this will only relax him more and force him to settle nearer last, and he simply hasn't shown the dash over the longer distances for us to become excited about his chances. Littorio is one we are happy to risk and not include in any form of betting.

12. Bauer - This 6yo entire has followed in the footsteps of 2002 Cup victor Media Puzzle by winning the Geelong Cup to qualify for tomorrow's race. He sat wide that day, albeit with cover, and held his opponents safely in the run to the line. A better run in the race that day was put in by Light Vision who subsequently ran a magnificent second in the Saab on Saturday, being run down in the last bound by Moatize. Light Vision should have beaten Bauer that day, he wills struggle to win the Melbourne Cup. Not to mention the fact that Damian Oliver who rode Bauer to victory at Geelong, is riding Mad Rush in the Cup. No, we can safely rule out Bauer as a wining hope, and an exotic chance as well.

13. Boundless - We all love Steven & Trevor McKee for their feats with Sunline, who will ever forget her. Steven kindly autographed a photo of Sunline for us at Royal Randwick one day, a nicer bloke you could not meet. And he has indeed qualified this 4yo mare for the Melbourne Cup and she is entitled to have her opportunity. The fact is her form is woeful, she has no winning hope, nor even a remote place chance unless she puts a form reversal of dynamic proportions, and half the field breaks down, and we don't wish that upon any horse in the race. No.

14. Gallopin - Big things were expected of this 5yogelding this spring, however he ahs taken some time to warm to his task. Last start he won the Moonee Valley Cup over 2600m, unfortunately for Gallopin, form out of this race almost never stands up in the Melbourne Cup. Prior to that, he beaten easily by Newport in the Metropolitan handicap at Randwick, the form of this race is also not what it used to be. It is very difficult to see him figuring any where near the place getters tomorrow. No.

15. Guyno - This 5yo gelding calls Western Australia his home and indeed ti is terrific to see a representative from Sandgroper territory. Nevertheless, with all due respect to owners & trainers, what is he doing in the field. The only purpose he will serve is to get in the way of serious winning chances. No.

16. Zarita - Duel Oaks winning filly last season against inferior opposition who has taken time to reach her peak for this. From barrier 1 last start in the Cox Plate, she ran an even race to finish 4th only beaten a length and a half. She will have to get a perfect trail from barrier 7 to be any chance tomorrow, left for one last run at the leaders, however she couldn't finish off at Moonee Valley, doubt she can finish off any better in the Cup. Happy to leave her out.

17. Newport - It was not long ago that Metropolitan Handicap winners were all hailed as serious winning chances in the Melbourne Cup. In fact, Newport not only won the Metrop this year, he also annexed the 2400m Brisbane Cup last year, so he has creditable form to recommend him. The issue with him is whether he can run out the strong 3200m required to be victorious on Cup day, which I suppose is a genuine query about most runners tomorrow. Newport is trained by the very astute Paul Perry, who always comes to Melbourne in the spring with serious winning chances only. Newport has a bolters hope in this years Cup, especially if some of the overseas horses are not on their metal. Include in all exotics, definite place hope.

18. Profound Beauty - Following his victory with Vintage Crop in 1993, Dermot Weld has made his life's ambition to win every version of the Melbourne Cup. He succeeded in 2002 with Media Puzzle, and he returns every year with another contender, a 5yo mare of all things. There has been a bit of money in the past few days to say she can run a good race however, her last start 3rd at Leopardstown tells us she will struggle in the Cup. The two horses who beat her on the heavy track that day, were beaten pointlessly by Septimus at their previous outing. Yes, she does drop a massive 7.5kg tomorrow, nevertheless she will have to improve, or Septimus retard for her to be a winning chance. Happy to leave her out completely as mares (with one obvious exception in Makybe Diva) have dreadful records in the Melbourne Cup, also plenty of other queries about her including her Danehill breeding and ability to get the journey strongly. No.

19. Red Lord - Have to be blunt here, he is very fortunate to even be in the field. His form is simply not good enough to win a Melbourne Cup, or even threaten to run a place. Easy fold, leave him out, he should be there tomorrow.

20. Varevees - Why did the owners spend their money bringing a 6yo mare to Australia? Party time, maybe, that can be the only answer, unless of course the VRC foots the bill. Her form is woeful against less thans erious opposition, she has drawn 23, the only positive for her is jockey Craig WIlliams, and not even his magic can get her home in the first 15. No.

21. Prize Lady - Again, we have to be blunt, why is this 7yo mare even in the race? She has been beaten over 16 lengths cumulatively at her last 3 runs in far inferior grade to what she meets tomorrow. No.

22. Allesandro Volta - 4yo entire who should have a name change to Absolute Bolter. Beaten no less than 35 lengths at his last run, over 15 lengths cumulatively at his previous two runs, again, why is he here? Maybe as a pacemaker, don't know, don't care, cannot win, cannot place. No.

23. Barbaricus - Twelve days ago when we wrote the Caulfield Cup preview, we said this bloke should not be in the field. How wrong we were. He ran the race of his life at Caulfield, sitting wide early, going to the lead, then fighting on like a cut snake in the straight to run a magnificent 3rd. He then came out on Saturday in the WFA MAckinnon Stakes, jumping a massive 6.5kg again shoots away with a good break only to be run down in the last stride by Thesio. He drops 8kg on that run, he is in the Cup as much as any other horse in the race. Stephen Baster will give the gun run from barrier 3, he will be in front at the 200m mark, only time will tell if he can hang on. Serious winning chance, definite place chance, include in all exotics.

24. Moatize - 8 weeks ago, this 4yo was a maiden, a horse who had not won a race. Going into the Cup tomorrow, he can only boast two victories, the most recent in the Saab on Saturday which secured his place in the field. He is trained by Bart Cummings so has to be respected. However he received 4kg from Light Vision on Saturday, was only able to run him down in the final bound, prior to that he was beaten well by Bauer at Geelong who sat wide the whole way. Never doubt Bart's magic when it comes to the Melbourne Cup, however we cannot have Moatize in any way shape or form.

How will the race be run? As always, plenty of pace, horses coming over from the outside barriers trying to obtain a good position will make for a fast pace. Even if this doesn't occur, some horses will pull hard off a slow speed and jockeys will be forced to take them toward the lead. As always, whoever obtains the easiest run in transit, with cover, without doing any hard work, and then gains clear running in the early part of the straight will win. As long as they are able to run out the 3200m strongly.

The serious winning chances are Nom Du Jeu, Barbaricus, Septimus, MadRush, Zipping & Master O'Reilly. Definite place & exotic chances to Cest La Guerre, Honolulu, & Newport.

Dry track selections:-

1 Nom De Jeu  2 Barabaricus  3 Septimus  4 Zipping

Rain affected track selections:-

1 Nom De Jue  2 Septimus  3 Cest La Guerre  4 Newport

Best of luck to everyone punting on the Cup tomorrow. Always remember, a horse in the market (under $20) will win, and there will always be a long shot (over $33) run a place.

Sunday 2 November 2008

MELBOURNE CUP FIELD 2008

Friday 31 October 2008

Derby Day Preview

At long last, the great day has arrived. After a 12 month wait, the day every hardened punters salivates about is now only one sleep away, Derby Day at Flemington race course in Melbourne. This meeting has long been regarded as the best all round meeting held in Australia every year on the first day of the Melbourne Cup carnival. It has something for every taste, a new season 2yo race, an open 1200m sprint, the two major lead ups to the big one on Tuesday next, the major lead up to the Oaks run on Thursday, plus 3 races for the 3yos including the Blue Ribband, the VRC Derby. As always, the major talking point is the track and how it will play. Currently, mid afternoon Friday, the track is a dead (4), showers are forecast, however the most critical issue is the irrigation that has been deliberately sprayed onto the racing surface to take the sting out of the ground. Following only 3mm of actual rainfall this week, a massive 30mm of irrigation has been poured onto the track, thus with the rail back in the normal position, this could mean a big bias for punters to account for before placing bets. There is an excellent chance the track will play to an on pace on fence bias, as it usually does on Derby day. Put this together with the fact that the main form lines coming into the meeting derive from Caulfield two weeks ago where virtually no horse could make ground from the rear in the straight, then punters are faced with a real conundrum. The straight races as usual should play to the outside fence, therefore wide barriers will be of little consequence, in fact, they should be an advantage.

Let's look at the main races individually, we'll leave the 2yo  event to those who have a far better knowledge & prowess of them than we could ever admit to:-

Carbine Club Stakes - looks a strong race for the 3yos this year, after what has been a few disappointing years for the race. There are plenty of chances despite the smallish field with Millbank, Caymans, Dr Doutes, Trustus & Tameer all having undeniable chances. We'll stick our neck out and select a last start maiden winner jumping to a Group 3 race, a feat in winning which is rarely achieved. Nevertheless, Grand Couture signalled in winning his latest outing at Bendigo that a city win was certainly within his grasp defeating the older horses in that maiden. From the astute Lee Freedman yard who place their horses with aplomb, he is up to this race without doubt following his 4 length victory over the 1400m last time. This followed a luckless second at Ballarat on that dubiously biased track where he was one of the only horses to make ground from the rear all day. Grand Couture is a gelding with plenty of promise and will give this race a real shake tomorrow. We doubt Millbank can figure in the finish, he fell in at Moonee Valley last Saturday, Caymans & Dr Doutes the hardest to beat.

Saab Quality (formerly Hotham Handicap) - Last chance Stakes for these to qualify for the big one on Tuesday, winning gains automatic entry, the rest will struggle to make the field. We have been following Light Vision for over 12 months now with great success. He is a most consistent horse and rarely puts in a poor one. Last start in the Geelong Cup his run had to be seen to be believed. He sat 3 and 4 wide the entire trip, then had the audacity to hit the front on straightening, only to fold under pressure over the final 150m. He still ran 4th, a Herculean performance beaten just on 2 lengths by Bauer who has plenty of admirers for the Melbourne Cup. If Light Vision gets into the field, then Bauer will not beat him on Tuesday. However Light Vision has to win the Saab to get into the Cup field. This he should achieve without too much fuss. How unlucky is Newport, win the time honoured Metropolitan, yet cannot even make it into the Caulfield Cup field, let alone the Melbourne Cup. In days gone by, Metrop winners were amongst the favourites in both big events, alas, no more. Newport has a great chance tomorrow. Plenty of money for Largo Lad today, so he is also expected to run a good race, field falls away dramatically from there, and you could not imagine in your wildest dreams a Cup winner coming from the remainder.

Wakeful Stakes - The 3yo fillies final lead up to the Oaks, the winner usually coming from this event. Very tough affair, nothing jumps out and grabs you, we could have 5-6 picks and miss a placegetter. Be very wary of the Caulfield bias from two weeks ago in this event, where Estee won over 2000m. Some of her opponents got a long way back and simply could make up the ground so we could see a form reversal or two here. For the record only, Poco Gusto to improve, Estee an undeniable chance, as are Miss Scarletti & Sparks Fly.

Coolmore (formerly the Ascot Vale Stakes) - The 3yos get another chance to shine in a Group 1 here this time over the straight 1200m. If times account for anything, then Northern Meteor is a living certainty. He has broken track records at Canterbury & Royal Randwick at his last two starts, the most recent a 5 length drubbing of a Group 3 field of 3yos. If he handles the straight track, then the race is as good as over, the others are simply lining up for the minor share of the prizes. Wilander beat Lucky Secret (who has won since) at Caulfield last start, he must have a good chance, as does the unbeaten Fist Of Fury, although he has been racing inferior opposition. Hayes brings Von Costa De Hero back from the 1600m of the Guineas for this, he is no Weekend Hussler, simply cannot win. The race falls away after this, with last start Brisbane winner on a slow track Portland the best of a mediocre bunch. Northern Meteor looks a good thing, Wilander a moral quinella.

MacKinnon Stakes - As with all the WFA races this spring, this race looks down on quality & depth, nevertheless, we are here to find a winner, not complain about the mediocrity in middle distance events in Australia. There are only a handful of chances, with massive form reversals required for most to win. Barbaricus ran a magnificent third in the Caulfield Cup, sitting wide then leading and doing all the hard work in the run. Again, his run may have been flattered due to the bias that day, however if he puts in like that again tomorrow, then he will go very close to winning. Princess Coup has a great chance, this race is usually reserved for the unlucky runner of the Cox Plate, and she got too far back and was poorly ridden that day. She is in the MacKinnon up to her ears. If Lottorio runs as he did in the Turnbull here a month ago, then he will almost win the race. He simply wasn't up to the Caulfield Cup, this might be his race. The only other possible winning hope is Red Ruler, however he had something amiss in the Caulfield Cup, and it is doubtful he could recover in a fortnight from that hard run, however he is an exotic hope. Tough race, maybe take quinellas and trifectas around the main 4.

VRC Derby - Already plenty written and spoken about this race. However, take out Whobegotyou, and what do we have? A bunch of mediocre 3yos given the opportunity  to win a Group 1. If there is pace on & Whobegotyou runs the 2500m okay, and there is no on pace bias, then he is simply the best thing in a Derby since Mahogany back in the early 90s. The others won't get within the width of the Yarra of him, the race is as good as over. Carnero fired up badly with the blinkers on first time last start, Rawiller replaced by Shane Dye tomorrow, he could improve dramatically, especially over the 2500m which he has been looking for all spring. He is the only danger to Whobegotyou as long as he settles all right. Pre Eminence led on the leader bias at Caulfield last start, he will lead again, hopefully setting up a good speed which will suit the formerly mentioned two. He cannot however win a Derby unless the track is again biased toward front runners.

Myer Classic - Group 1 for fillies & mares, Yukko. An absolute lottery, simply throw into a hat the 16 names, and draw them out, as good a chance as any of selecting the winner. I don't even know where to start, preferably something drawn an inside barrier that will sit just off the speed, 3rd or 4th on the fence, that one will win.

Salinger Stakes - This used to be the crack sprint of the carnival and a Group 1 race, how times have changed. All things being equal, Sunburnt Land should win. He is a model of consistency, taken on and beaten everything thrown at him thus far, has drawn the middle so he can either go inside or out depending on where jockey Chris Symons chooses, he is the one to beat. Plenty of other chances, Nuclear Medicine will run a very good race, as will Swick who always goes well down the straight at his home track. Hot Danish, Biscayne Bay and Bon Hoffa the other hopes.

Well, there you have it, a complete run down on all the main races for tomorrow. Seriously, we suggest you watch the first 2-3 races to work out if there is or isn't any track bias. Watch prevailing weather conditions, look for those drawn out in the straight races, and avoid wide barriers in the non straight races. Best of luck to everyone having a punt on Derby day. We will send out our usual email to members in the morning with the best bets of the day.

Sunday 26 October 2008

King Kavanagh Rules At Moonee Valley

What a sensational day a former South Australian jumps jockey had as a trainer at Moonee Valley yesterday. Mark Kavanagh has slowly been rising in the training ranks for a couple of years, really hitting the limelight last year with Divine Madonna, Devil Moon and Maldivian performing outstandingly throughout the spring of 2007. However yesterday capped off  what must be a stella year for the most likable mentor after Maldivian won the Group 1 WFA Championship of Australasia the WS Cox Plate. Not only did Kavanagh annex the main race of the day, he also captured two Group 2 events with Whobegotyou winning the final lead up to the VRC Derby plus Sea Battle winning the prestigious Group 2 1600m event later in the day. He almost had a fourth winner when Princess Marizza was a most unlucky 3rd in the final event of the day.

Kavanagh never lost hope with Maldivian despite some disappointing performances of late, in particular only a week ago in the Caulfield Cup. He brought the 5yo gelding back from 2400m to win over the 2040m against the best the country had to offer yesterday within a week, which in itself is a tremendous feat. He put blinkers on Maldivian, and schooled him over a few log jumps during the week and this really sharpened him up for yesterday's assignment. Maldivian led from the barrier rise, was able to get away with a very slow lead time and some cheap mid race sectionals, meaning the back markers had no hope of running him down. A terrific ride by Michael Rodd who ahs really come of age and must now be considered as one of the best 4-5 jockeys in Australia.

Whobegotyou's win in the AAMI Vase over 2040m was sensational, actually running over 2 seconds faster time than Maldivian in the Cox Plate. He has the VRC Derby at his mercy next Saturday, doubtful there is a horse in the country that could get near him.

Today we see running of two more country cups in Victoria in the shape of Sale & Terang. Both very attractive meetings especially at Sale. Plenty of rain around Victoria & South Australia, so punters should be careful of prevailing weather and track conditions at all venues before placing bets.

Will Win Today

Sale R8 No9 Electromotive

Won't Win Today

Nowra R7 No7 La Vedette

Friday 24 October 2008

Cox Plate Eve

Every Friday at this time of the year swells excitement within the true punters soul, and today Cox Plate Eve 2008 is no different. A great days racing at The Valley in store for us, however we first have to overcome today and get through unscathed with a bank for a bet or two tomorrow. Racing at Quirindi & Coffs Harbour in NSW, a very strong meeting at Benalla in Victoria, while Qld is represented by Toowoomba in the heart of the Darling Downs.

Will Win Today

Benalla R5 No4 Jetconi

Won't Win Today

Coffs Harbour R6 No5 Wortha Shot

Thursday 23 October 2008

Bauer Stakes Claim For The Melbourne Cup

The Luka Cumani trained Bauer staked a serious claim for Australia's greatest race with an emphatic victory in the Geelong Cup yesterday. Ridden brilliantly by Damian Oliver Bauer showed he was a real stayer after making a sustained run before taking the lead half way up the straight then holding off all challengers. He will run the 3200m of the Cup right out in 12 days time and has confirmed the dominance of overseas horses during the spring of 2008. Favourite Light Vision was trapped 3 wide for the entire trip and performed a sterling job to finish a close 4th. There is another race in him this spring if he pulls up okay after such a torrid run.

Racing today takes us to Hawkesbury in NSW, a fillies & mares only meeting at Ballarat in Victoria along with Ipswich in Qld & Geraldton in the west.

Will Win Today

Ballarat R8 No4 Alexandra Gardens

Won't Win Today

Hawkesbury R7 No4 Silken Appeal

Wednesday 22 October 2008

Geelong Cup & Classic Day

All roads lead to the Victorian coastal port of Geelong south west of Melbourne today for the running of arguably the major country cup in the region. Always held in high regard, the winner usually moves on to run on the first Tuesday in November in the race that stops a nation. I had the pleasure of attending the Cup won by Karasi in 2001 and it was certainly a great day. Believe it or not, a little neddy named Rubitano was beaten in a Class 1 that day, he went on to win 4 Group 1 races, so the fields on Cup day at Geelong are generally very strong.

The Cup today looks a very even field as it always is with visitors from Europe, New Zealand and interstate having final hit outs before the Melbourne Cup. The most interesting runner is the  Luca Cumani trained Bauer who has won 5 from 17 outings in Europe and if he has travelled well and acclimatised, he will be in the finish despite an awkward barrier draw. Sandgroper Guyno has been steadily improving since his arrival from the west and he will have to win today to justify a Cup start in 13 days time. He ahs the services of Brad Rawiller today and from the coveted rails barrier, he should run a mighty race. Of the locals, Light Vision ahs been racing extremely consistently, with 3 wins and a second in this preparation, the most a victory at Flemington over 2500m. Jockey Ben Melham will ride him forward as usual from barrier 9 and put the 5yo gelding right into the race from the outset. He is definitely the one to beat. Expect an improvement from the unusually named Banana Man today who will strip fitter after 3 runs back from a spell. Light Vision the one to beat in the Cup today.

The Classic (formerly known as the Derby Trial) looks a very even event as well with a host of good winning chances. The Lee Freedman trained Palm Trilogy showed he was looking for a distance following a nice win over 2025m at Cranbourne last time out. He will race close to the pace and be in the finish. Beware The Tiger will get back and need luck, however with the big field there should be plenty of pace on to suit backmarkers which brings him right into the race as well. Rarely we see the genuine Derby horses run here, nevertheless it is always a terrific spectacle.

Will Win Today

Geelong R1 No7 Coppervue

Won't Win Today

Canterbury R5 No6 Alleistekei

Best of luck to all those having bet on this Geelong Cup day, 2008.

Friday 17 October 2008

Wednesday 8 October 2008

Maxisun Shines at Geelong

We might have seen a smart horse in the making yesterday at what looked like an unremarkable program at the provincial Geelong Thorough Track. The Tony Vasil trained Maxisun overcame a late jockey change with regular rider Danny Brereton unable to take his mounts at the meeting, giving Sydney based Blake Shinn an opportunity to ride his first Synthetic Track winner. Maxisun began well from the inside barrier to lead, however he was taken on by La Rocket in the early & middle stages. Nevertheless, as the field reached the home turn, La Rocket dropped off dramatically, while Maxisun kicked strongly. Half way up the straight the race was all over with Maxisun pulling away to win by over 3 lengths at the finish. He has now won 3 races from only four starts with a third placing to add to his increasingly impressive record. There is a race over the Spring carnival for this bloke, so keep your eye out for him.

Six meetings to attract punters this afternoon, all with reasonable racing surfaces for having a bet, with the feature being the Golden Nugget meeting in the Victorian goldfields at Ballarat.

Will Win Today

Doomben R7  No.5 Denby

Won't Win Today

Ballarat R5 No.9 Rock Home Late

Tuesday 7 October 2008

Weekend Review

Most poste mortems following Randwick's Super Saturday & Turnbull Stakes day have been done to death, however we'll add a few points that may not have yet been covered.

The biggest talking point was the failure of Weekend Hussler in the Turnbull, however what else was expected when he started from barrier 13 in a field of 13. Predictably he sat 3 and 4 wide for the entire journey and was a spent force in the straight. The 2000m start at Flemington is on a bend, and this bend continues until the field enters the home straight,  The Hussler was trapped wide for at least 1500m, and with the rail out 9m it is unimaginable how much extra ground he covered. Brad Rawiller was a victim of circumstance having every other jockey in the race riding against him, he had little or no alternative to ride the way he did. As for the Caulfield Cup and Cox Plate, then the Melbourne Cup, if Weekend Hussler can win even one of those races it will be a miracle of loaves & fishes proportion. As for the others, Lottorio's run was good, not as good as Master O'Reilly or Zipping, however good enough it appears to control favouritism now for the two major Cups.

The two best runs to come out of Royal Randwick without doubt were the 3yos Samantha Miss & Sousa. Samantha Miss has the 3yo fillies races in Melbourne at her mercy, she is most definitely the best 3yo filly since Sunline. If she gets a start in the Cox Plate, watch out Melbourne, you will get the surprise of your life how close she will go to wining the race. Sousa had VRC Derby winner written all over him in winning the Spring Champion Stakes. Whatever beats him in the 2500m Blue Ribband at Flemington on the first Saturday in November will be winning the race.

The run of the weekend did not occur at a city metropolitan meeting. It happened at Benalla on Cup day on Sunday in a mere RB72 event. The John Symons/Sheil Laxon trained Daintree Duke was first up from a spell in the 1200m race, sizzling away to win by over 3 lengths. There is a good race over the spring carnival for him now he has matured, possibly even a Group 1 awaits his calling. Write his name down, he is a very smart horse.

Will Win Today

Townsville R5 No1 Gunner's Barracks

Won't Win Today

Geelong R8 No10 Bowemma

Best of luck to everyone who is having a punt this Tuesday afternoon.

Saturday 27 September 2008

Grand Final Day

For one of only a handful of Saturday's during the year, today horse racing takes a back seat for the AFL Grand Final. So much so, Victoria Racing don't even bother to schedule a metropolitan meeting for the day, they instead give the Saturday honour's to the progressive Mornington Club where we see the running of the $100,000 Reginald Ansett Classic over 2400m. A country meeting at Seymour makes up the regular two pronged attack in Victoria this afternoon.

Other than Geelong winning the AFL by a record margin, this afternoon will be highlighted at Royal Randwick with the running of the All Aged Stakes Group 1 over 1600m. Odds on favourite & autumn Doncaster handicap winner Triple Honour takes on 5yo mare Gallant Tess again, the mare proving victorious at their most recent meeting a fortnight ago in the Chelmsford Stakes. Can't see triple Honour reversing the placings from that race, however the lightly weighted Duporth may have a say in the final finishing order.

Good t o dead tracks throughout the country this afternoon with support meetings at Doomben, Cheltenham & a possible rain affected track in the west at Belmont.

Today's best

Belmont R4 No1 Cassandra Shadow

Today's Lay

Mornington R4 No15 Upstream

Best of luck to all those having a bet this Grand Final day.

Thursday 25 September 2008

Lismore Cup Day

All roads lead to the picturesque Northern Rivers city of Lismore this afternoon for the running of their annual 2100m Cup worth $60,000 in total prizemoney. A large crowd will be in attendance as the residents are given a half day Public Holiday to attend the big event. An excellent support program of 7 races including the 1100m Casella Wines Neville Farmer Memorial worth $15,000. The Cup looks a very even race with last years Northern Rivers Cup champ Mr Gold Fire competing along with recent Eagle Farm winner Derivative Receipt both of whom will be extremely competitive. Plenty of other in form gallopers including Chinbok, Klochova, Olympic Time & especially Regal Gaze who looks very hard to beat. The track has come up as a dead (5) with an good chance of an upgrade with strong SE winds prevailing.  Best of luck to Michael Trimbell and the Club for a successful afternoon.

Support programs today include Hawkesbury in Sydney's north west, Sale in south eastern Victoria along with a very strong meeting at Cluden Park in Townsville. The Northam meeting in WA lets the day down a bit on quality, and with over 12mm of rain falling over night, the track there will be rain affected.

Today's Best

Townsville R8 No3 Brer Fox

Today's Lay

Hawkesbury R7 No3 Alimenta

Best of luck to everyone having a punt this Thursday afternoon.

Wednesday 24 September 2008

Blue Blood Bromley To Continue on His Winning Way

About a month ago we mentioned Bromley in our daily preview as a horse to follow after a strong maiden win at Sale in Victoria. The magnificently bred son of Australian Group 1 winners Zabeel & Dantelah has now notched up 3 successive victories over varying distances. His maiden win came over 1422m at Sale, following which his astute trainer John Sadler stepped the gelding up to 1722m at Sale. This proved little problem for Bromley, however Sadler then brought him back to a 1400m race at Bendigo, a most unusual move. Nevertheless, Bromley showed his class to chalk up his third straight victory. Today we see him step up to metropolitan grade for the first time, and also a distance of 1522m at the tricky Moonee Valley circuit. Stable jockey Steven Arnold takes over from top apprentice Nicholas Hall, who won on Bromley at Bendigo, and he should be able to position the gelding just off the speed and ready to pounce when they get serious. His main dangers today will come from Cape D'amour, who will probably lead & the Danny O'Brien trained up and coming middle distance horse Vigor. Not often we see many horses win 4 in a row these days, so should Bromley complete this feat it will indeed be a most creditable one.

Racing today also at Canterbury on a good racing surface, Eagle Farm also on a good track, Balaklava a good track as well, and Belmont in the west which is also expected to be a good track.

Today's Best

Moonee Valley R6 No8 Bromley

Today's Lay

Canterbury R2 No4 Il Capitano

Best of luck to all those having a punt this Wednesday afternoon.

Tuesday 23 September 2008

Rainy Day Tuesday

Plenty of rain around the country for this afternoon's gallop meetings, so punters should be very wary. Warrnambool in Victoria has only come up with a dead (5) after nearly 10m of rain since lunch time yesterday, to be honest the track has to be worse than that. We suggest you watch the first couple of races and if the jockeys start scouting wide, then the track is definitely on the slow side. At Randwick in Sydney the AJC race on the Kensington track which is also rated a dead (5), however plenty more rain on the way and we would expect a down grade there. Narromine race in the Western Districts of NSW and after 16mm of rain in the past 24 hours, they race on a  slow (6). Most acceptors there would have been prepared for a flint hard track, with plenty of runners having never seen a rain affected track. So there may be some interesting results at Narromine this afternoon. The only firm track today will be in Central Queensland at Rockhampton where a 7 race card takes place.

Today's Best

Kensington R2 No1 Crosswise

Today's Lay

Narromine R6 No1 Camiling

Best of luck to all those having a punt this Tuesday.

Monday 22 September 2008

Devonport Off

Bad luck with the weather in North Western Tasmania where the meeting at Devonport has been abandoned due to continual rain. Nevertheless, we are left with good racing surfaces at Taree & Nowra in NSW along with Donald in Victoria where the progressive Wimmera Race Club holds it's meeting.

Today's Best

Taree 6 No6 Diamond Symphony

Today's Lay

Donald R8 No8 Glaneuse

Best of luck to everyone having a punt this afternoon.

Wednesday 17 September 2008

Two Days of Carnival For The Newcastle Cup

Today highlights country cups racing at it's finest with the opening day of the Newcastle Cup carnival. Newcastle hosts arguably the best country cup in Australia, with two days of high class racing, featuring the 1400m Cameron Handicap & 3yo Spring Stakes over 1600m today. Whilst tomorrow we see the running of the 2200m Cup and the Tibbie for fillies & mares. Not only is the racing action terrific, the carnival atmosphere really gets the adrenalin of patrons pumping over the two days. And even though there is plenty in party mode, the actual racing does not become lost in the crowd, with the hardened punters well catered for, in fact far better looked after than on most big racing days around the country. Best of luck to the NJC.

The Spring Stakes brings together a good quality field of 3yos looking to step up toward the big spring 3yo races. Baci Amore who ran 5th in the Golden Rose at his last start, beaten less than 1.5 lengths, will carry top weight and will start a pronounced favourite. He won't get things all his own way with Tears N Cheers & Rhyno Hunter both very promising gallopers who have been crying out for the 1600m. The Graham Begg trained Back Off who won his maiden in very easy fashion last time out on the Inner track at Randwick, will also improve again today.

The Cameron sees a mighty clash between the unbeaten Gai Waterhouse trained Ashikaga, Anthony Cummings trained Raheeb and the John O'Shea top weight Reigning To Win. If Reigning To Win was to regain his best form, he would win this race, however he has been a most disappointing horse since his 3yo days, and possibly his best is behind him. Raheeb ran a terrific second at his first run for nearly 18 months behind subsequent Manikato Stakes winner Typhoon Zed. The third horse that day Hurried Choice also won again on Saturday at Rosehill so the form of that race is exceptional. Ashikaga has now won 4 races from only 4 starts and will lead an be hard to beat again this afternoon with Blake Shinn to steer. Should be a great race, well worth the trip to Newcastle to witness.

Support programs today at Sandown on the Hillside, Doomben, Gawler in SA and of course Belmont in the west. Best of luck to all those having a punt this afternoon.

Tuesday 16 September 2008

Pimpala Lass To Drive Her Way Home At Coffs Harbour

For several years now we have all been watching horses named "Pimpala" run around predominantly in NSW & Queensland. Today we wondered how many people knew what the term "Pimpala" actually referred to. Of course Pimpala is a railway station in Adelaide, very close to the Morphettville race course, however Pimpala also refers to a "very cool Chevrolet Impala driver" in the USA. The owners of these Impala's are of course dubbed, Pimpala's. Not only have we seen plenty of horses with this handle attached, we generally see the name Gordon Yorke attached as the trainer of these horses. Once again at Coffs Harbour this afternoon, another instance in this case, with Pimpala Lass running around in race 5 for Yorke, chasing her third successive victory. Two starts back during the Coffs Harbour Cup carnival, she won over the 1200m in emphatic fashion, before heading south to Taree where she lumped a mighty 60kg to win by a length over 1250m. Back to her home track today, with a significant weight reduction to 54.5kg Pimpala Lass will be very hard to beat despite jumping in grade. With scratchings she only has 6 other opponents to contend with, so top mid north coast hoop Scott Thurlow should be able to steer her home from the nice draw.

Racing today also at Kilmore in Victoria and on a rock hard surface at Cluden Park in Townsville. Best of luck to all those having a punt on this Tuesday.

Friday 12 September 2008

Cairns Abandoned

Extreme bad luck for the Cairns Jockey Club today, with the first day of their full two day TAB Amateurs meetings having to be abandoned. A section of the track from the 100m to the 400m was unracable which is a real shame for the clubs endeavours to gain permanent TAB status. Hopefully the weather stays clear for the day so tomorrow Amateur Cup is able to be run, the first full Saturday TAB meeting that CJC is hosting.

Plenty of other meetings for punters to bet on this afternoon with Port Macquarie & Wellington (transferred from Dubbo) in NSW, along with the Geelong Thorough Track in Victoria. There is a restricted RB77 race at Wellington this afternoon worth a cool $20,000 and has brought together a strong field for the district. The 1400m event will be contested by two very smart up and coming horses. The Gaynor Williams trained 4yo gelding Little Britain has now won his last 3 in succession, including his most recent start in strong provincial company at Kembla Grange. His main rival will be the father and son combination of Pat & Kody Nestor with their 4yo mare Miss Alberta, who has won 3 from only 5 race starts. The mare an home powerfully to in at Muswellbrook last time out, so the 1400m of today's event will suit her admirably and she is the one to beat.

Best of luck to all those having a punt on this Friday afternoon.

Thursday 11 September 2008

Locals Clean Up at Kalgoorlie

Interstate raiders were left lamenting when local WA gallopers took the honours in the Hannans Handicap at Kalgoorlie yesterday. Perth based sprinter Fim Maru dashed away from his rivals in the straight to score an emphatic victory, with locally Kalgoorlie trained matador running on well to finish second. Eastern state raiders Amianan, Larson and former Danny O'Brien trained favourite Escudaire all missed the placings in the 1400m sprint. Sunday sees the running of the Kalgoorlie Cup which always presents a huge crowd and is definitely worth attending for any devout racing fan.

Racing today offers up five excellent meetings including the running of the Ballina Cup on the Northern Rivers of NSW. Hawkesbury, Mornington, Ipswich & Northam make up the support programs this afternoon. Interesting to see quite a few of the Perth based jockeys who attended Kalgoorlie yesterday, have made the trek back home to ride at Northam this afternoon, notably The Pontiff Paul Harvey. Harvey doesn't usually travel too far from Perth, so he is a jockey to follow today at Northam. His best mount looking to be last start maiden winner and top weight in the last race Finally China who looks extremely hard to beat against an average bunch.

Best of luck to the Ballina Jockey Club for their big day today, hopefully they can get an upgrade of the track from the current reading of slow (6), as there has been plenty of fine & sunny weather over the past couple of days since last week deluge.

Good luck to of us having a punt this afternoon.

Wednesday 10 September 2008

Hannan's Showcases Kalgoorlie

The time honoured Hannan's Handicap is the highlight of racing in Australia this afternoon as Kalgoorlie host their second largest race day of the calendar, second only to their Cup which is run this Sunday. The 1400m handicap has been won by some very good horses throughout the years and always brings together an extremely strong field with plenty of visitors from Perth, the 2008 version certainly no exception. Eastern states punters will have to be patient if keen on one in the Hannan's as the start time is 6:40pm EST. Former Gai Waterhouse trained gelding Amianan now with the astute Neville Parnham in Perth heads the weights this year at his first start in the west. If Parnham has him fit, he is the one to beat. Former Victorian Escudaire who has now won his last two at Belmont will probably start the favourite this afternoon to continue his winning ways. Another former Victorian Larson is also first up in the west, and on his best form he will be right in the finish. The local hope is 4yo mare Saffron Fire who has now won her last 3 starts in a row at Kalgoorlie, however is up in grade this afternoon and has barrier 12 to contend with. As always, the Hannan's should be a great spectacle.

We see slow rated tracks at both Canterbury & the Gold Coast this afternoon, with the surprise being a good racing surface at Sandown on the Lakeside track. In race 6 at Sandown, the Brian Mayfield Smith trained Greatwall Of China is attempting to win his 4th successive race following wins at Moonee Valley, Sandown Hillside & Bendigo. The 4yo entire has been gradually increasing his distances with great effect, so the extra 100m today will suit him admirably. Again well drawn, the services of regular race rider Sam Hyland, and a couple of important scratchings give Greatwall Of China another opportunity to improve his imposing winning record.

Yesterday at Randwick we saw a terrific win by Samantha Miss in the Furious Stakes for the 3yo fillies. She will be hard to beat in anything she competes in this spring after coming from near last on the turn to score an emphatic victory. Faulconbridge continued on his winning way also now boasts a record of 3 wins and a placing from only 5 starts. The Gai Waterhouse gelding has a very bright future in front of him and is certainly one to follow, especially when he get to distances of 1600m and further.

Best of luck to all those having a punt this afternoon.

Tuesday 9 September 2008

Group Racing On A Tuesday

Royal Randwick hosts 3 Group races that were postponed from the washed out meeting last Saturday this afternoon. The Group 2 Chelmsford Stakes (R6), Tramway Stakes (R7) and Group 3 Furious Stakes (R8) will all be held on the course proper, with the remaining 7 races being conducted on the inside or Kensington course. The course proper is rated as a heavy (8), whilst the Kensington track is rated a slow (7) for the meeting.

The Tramway should be a terrific clash between the Mick Price trained Victorian visitor Gotta Have Heart & local up & comer Bank Robber. Gotta Have Heart has won 7 from 17 while Bank Robber has won 4 from his only 5 starts. The 1400m of today's race should be ideal for both participants, with Bank Robber leading, the visitor should have a nice trail in behind the speed. This should a race well worth watching with both combatants preparing for a tilt at the Group 1 Epsom Handicap in 3 weeks time.

Gai Waterhouse has a most interesting runner engaged in race 8 this afternoon in Faulconbridge. He is very promising having won 2 and been placed once from only 4 starts. Last time out at his first run back from a spell, he sprinted very well fresh to account for a city class field at Newcastle a fortnight ago, in one of the transferred meetings whilst Randwick was closed for WYD. The 4yo was confidently backed that day, he steps up to 1400m today with Nash Rawiller to ride, he is a horse to follow throughout the spring as there are Group riches awaiting him.

Warrnambool & Mackay make up the support programs this Tuesday afternoon, best of luck to all those having a punt.

Friday 29 August 2008

Finding Synthetic Track Specialists

Following on from our recent article regarding  the new synthetic tracks being horses for courses, each and every Friday we several meetings held on these surfaces. In fact, every Friday throughout winter, Victoria Racing schedule a meeting for the Geelong Thorough Track, with today being no different. As well as Geelong, we also see a meeting at Corbould Park Caloundra on their Cushion Track, so punters need to keep a close eye on those horses who handle these tracks and those who don't. Let's try to pin point a couple for this afternoon.

At Geelong in recent times we have seen the middle distance gelding Cocenta win 5 straight on the Thorough Track making it his home ground so to speak. This afternoon we see a 4yo entire by Stravinsky return to the scene of an emphatic 7 length victory two starts back over 1200m. The Cossack then attempted to jump a couple of grades only to go down by the narrowest of margins to the very smart Togni, also at Geelong. This afternoon he steps up to 1300m, has the services of Craig Newitt, however the most important factor is he is is most at home on the synthetic surface which he has proven in his last two starts. The Cossack will certainly handle the track and will perform well again this afternoon.

At the Sunshine Coast we see a Pat Duff trained 4yo gelding named Rock My Roof returning to the scene of an easy 1.3 length victory two stats back over the same distance as today's event, 1400m. In between he travelled to Doomben on a Wednesday to run a creditable 3rd after coming from a wide alley and using up plenty of petrol to get to the lead that day. The smaller field this afternoon will assist, as will the experience of Michael Heagney, plus he is proven on the synthetic surface. Rock My Roof will also give a great sight this afternoon at Caloundra.

Okay, so there are two we can back with some confidence knowing they will handle the tracks they are running on today. Racing in NSW sees meetings at Tamworth & Albury, so again plenty for punters to bet on this Friday afternoon.

Best of luck to all those having a bet today.

Thursday 28 August 2008

Bluebloods Take The Limelight

Following yesterday's first up success at Moonee Valley of the $2 million yearling purchase, Lee Freedman trained, Darley owner, Time Thief, we quickly move to south eastern Victoria this afternoon to find yet another blueblood gracing the Australian turf. Pictuesque Sale may not be the most salubrious place to show off a maturing 4yo gelding by champion sire Zabeel, out of Group 1 Oakleigh Plate winning mare Dantelah, however this is where we will find Bromley having his second outing on a race track in a heat of the Rising Stars Championship for apprentices. At his only race start, Bromley won his maiden at Sale over 1400m, defeating subsequent 5 length winner Gallica by just on a length. Today the blueblood steps up to 1722m, plus up in grade to an RB0-68 event, which will certainly test his ability. Top country apprentice Billy Egan will ride, with all eyes being on the Lloyd Williams owned, John Sadler trained gelding this afternoon.

Another very interesting runner at Sale today, is the imported 7yo mare Elopement who contests the 1722m Showcase event. Having not raced since October 2007, and doing all of her racing in Europe, she has built up an impressive record of 6 wins from 19 starts, the last 4 victories in succession. Now in the Lee Freedman camp at Markdel, she is obviously being set for the Australian spring riches, so she will have to show plenty in a mere RB0-78 event at Sale this afternoon to justify those goals. She will probably need the run today, however is she does perform well, she may be one to keep an eye on through the spring.

In other racing news, leading Victorian apprentice Sebastian Murphy is taking an indefinite break from the saddle after contracting a mystery illness that has left him drained of energy. The 18yo who is apprenticed to Darren Weir at Ballarat,  has been riding extremely well, however he may be feeling the affects of over doing it. Let's hope he is back at the races asap, as we need up and coming jockeys such as he to boost the riding ranks and make them more competitive.

Racing today at Gosford in NSW, Rocky up north, and Northam in the west. So best of luck to all those having a punt this afternoon.

Tuesday 26 August 2008

Let's Win At The Casino, Baby

Rosehill mentor Chris Waller will be hoping for better luck today with up and coming 4yo Casino Baby at the Newcastle meeting transferred from Randwick. The Johannesborg gelding has had only 3 race starts, however has finished second in all three so a change of luck is certainly due. Following two straight seconds at Newcastle & Canterbury over shorter less suitable distances, Waller sent the gelding for a well earned maturing spell. His return at Canterbury 13 days ago showed he had benefited greatly from the break and he ran a creditable second in a maiden over 1250m. Today he steps up to 1500m which will suit him ideally & has the services of Corey Brown to steer who will give Casino Baby the run of the race. The field has fallen away with several scratchings, so the race looks an ideal stepping stone at this stage of his preparation. Casino Baby looks the banker bet of the day at Newcastle.

There is a smart Gai Waterhouse gelding resuming in the race at Newcastle in the shape of Faulconbridge. At his first race start at Newcastle over 1500m he demoralised a field of maidens by a mere 6 lengths showing he had plenty of natural ability. The gelding had difficulty recovering from that effort, with his two subsequent performances slightly below par, albeit being far from disgraced. So Gai sent him for a spell and he returns now with Spring riches in mind. The 1300m of today's event may be a little short of his best, as he is bred to stay being by Pentre Celebre, however keep an eye out for him running on strongly at the finish.

We finally see a non rain affected track in Victoria where they race at Seymour. Hopefully the rain stays away for the Spring and we can see a return to form lines standing up.

Best of luck to all those having a punt this Tuesday.

Friday 8 August 2008

The Era Of The Synthetic Track Has Arrived

A quick glance at the venues of today's gallop meetings would not generally raise an eyebrow. Gunnedah & Canberra in NSW, Geelong in Victoria & the Sunshine Coast in Queensland are all regular Friday venues on the racing calendar. However, the most interesting feature is that 3 of the 4 venues will today be racing on synthetic surfaces, not grass tracks. These synthetic tracks were set up to take the burden away from grass tracks during the winter, and we now see a predominance of racing on these surfaces, especially during the week. In fact, in recent times, several meetings have been transferred from other venues to the Geelong Thorough Track, plus, meetings scheduled for the grass at Caloundra, have been transferred to their Cushion Track. This is great for racing, as little or no turnover is lost, terrific for the social punter who can still get on, especially on a Friday which the second biggest turnover day of the week.

Nevertheless, these synthetic surfaces throw up a mighty conundrum for the serious & semi serious punters. Most serious punters are aware that some horses will handle different types of surfaces better than other horses. Some horses handle heavy tracks, some don't, other horses excel on dry, hard tracks, others, especially those with niggling knee or feet injuries, will not. Horses, who have not quite made the grade in Sydney or Melbourne, are frequently sent to Darwin or Alice Springs to find easier races, however, some simply don't handle dirt track racing and are huge flops.

So, where are we heading with all of this? Exactly the same thing will occur on synthetic surfaces as they do on heavy tracks, dry, hard tracks, or dirt tracks. Some horses will handle the going, others won't. Some horses simply won't feel comfortable or confident when running full pace on a synthetic surface, therefore will not stretch out to perform at their best. Other horses will resent having sand thrown back into their face, and simply won't try. This has become glaringly obvious this winter, with some massive upset results at both the Cushion Track at Caloundra & the Thorough Track at Geelong.

There are two ways for punters to overcome these issues:-

*     Avoid backing horses who have failed on a synthetic surface in the past. Avoid backing horses who are untried on the synthetic surface.

*     Look for horses who have won on the synthetic surface in the past, or those who have been narrowly beaten but have proven they can handle it. Also look for horses trained at the track, as they have worked on the synthetic in the lead up to the race.

The synthetic surfaces can be compared with a rain affected track, usually between dead & slow. So those horses who don't handle good to fast tracks will generally not be suited on the synthetic surface. The synthetic surfaces are softer, assisting those horses who are touchy on their feet or in their joints.

The other issue which also must be addressed by the serious punter, is how to weigh up form from these synthetic tracks. Avoid backing last start winners on synthetic surfaces, when racing on grass at their next outing, winning margins can be greatly exaggerated. Also you can forgive a horse a bad run on the synthetic, if his previous form was strong on grass tracks.

So in summary, look for the old "horses for courses" when having a bet on Synthetic tracks, especially those who are trained at the track who have had experience on the surface.

Best of luck today at all the venues if you are having a punt.

Monday 4 August 2008

Biggest Day Of The Year In The Top End

The first Monday of the new racing season is now renowned for hosting the biggest day of the racing calendar in the top end. Today we see the running of the 2000m Darwin Cup at Fannie Bay racecourse in Darwin, where a huge crowd is expected to attend as always. Patrons, jockeys, trainers, owners come from all over Australia to ensure they witness, not only the running of the Cup, but also the fanfare that goes with it. There will as always be plenty of sore heads on Tuesday morning around Darwin town.

This year's Cup brings together a strong field, including last years Cup winner General Market, this year's Derby winner, Protestas as well as last years Guineas and Derby winner Brad Star making a second attempt to win the coveted trophy. Add Cup winner from two years ago, Nozi along with several interstate visitors, the race makes for exciting viewing on the oil based dirt surface at Fannie Bay. Interstate jockeys Reece Wheeler, Mark Pegus, Neil Payne, Peter Mertens & Peter Robl have made the trek to Darwin and have accepted rides in the Cup. From barrier 4, local jockey Paul Shiers should have Brad Star sitting just off the pace in the run, and given a similar performance when he won his last start over 1900m at the track, then he should be right in the finish this afternoon. Brad Star would be opur pick if we were having a bet in the Cup today.

The Moe meeting today had been transferred to Pakenham, with a heavy track there. Forbes Cup day on a dead (5) & Cessnock racing on a slow (7) this afternoon make up the support programs.

Best of luck to all those having a punt this afternoon.

Tuesday 29 July 2008

GO MAZ!!

Our stable mascot Go Maz finally gets an opportunity to attend a race meeting this afternoon at Ballina. Following a frustrating 6 weeks which consisted of an acute lack of suitable races, then drawing the outside barrier at Grafton, Ballina being postponed last week, Maz finally gets to strut his stuff on a heavy (10) surface today. Jamie QUinnell will ride, and he knows both Maz & the Ballina track extremely well, so he will be able to navigate the best passage for Maz from the outside barrier. Let's hope Jamie can get him to the middle of the track in the straight, and give him the opportunity to run on strongly. Maz has won two barrier trials on heavy going, so the conditions will suit this afternoon.

Racing also today at Wyong (slow 7), Geelong Thorough Track (transferred from Kyneton) & Rockhampton. Best of luck to everyone having a bet today, and  GO MAZ !

Saturday 26 July 2008

Saturated Saturday

A plethora of rain affected tracks around the country this afternoon, making the punters assignment a most difficult one. Canterbury, Doomben & Toowoomba have all come up with heavy track ratings, with  Newcastle & Townsville racing on slow surfaces. Moonee Valley & Cheltenham race on dead tracks, however rain os forecast for both venues during the day. With heavy rain in Perth over the past 48 hours, Belmont Park will undoubtedly be slow-heavy, leaving us only with Donald in Western Victoria as the only good track this afternoon.

Townsville Cup day today, well supported by their major sprint the Cleveland bay Handicap where we see Sea Zulu attempting to win the 1200m race for the third time. He will have to lump 59kg in his attempt and will need to have every thing go his way if he is to succeed. The Cup is a tough race with all the main chances drawn out wide. The favourite will be Majestic Sight, who will start from barrier 13, however he is by Langfhur, is a mud lark and will enjoy the conditions despite the massive 58kg he has to carry.

At Moonee Valley we see the return of smart sprinter Stavka, who is attempting to win his third race in succession this preparation. He has to overcome barrier 14, however with any luck he is better than his rivals and should win.

At Belmont we see Danny Beau. Miss Andretti's full brother step out again, this time over 1200m. He should have too much class for his rivals if the track is not too bad. promising Dark Target will have another crack at the 1000m around Belmont and again, he should be far too slick for his opposition.

Best of luck to all those having a punt this Saturday afternoon.

Friday 25 July 2008

Ballina Postponed Until Tuesday

The big wet continues around the country with today's Ballina meeting on the Northern Rivers of NSW postponed until Tuesday 29 July. The track endured over 70mm of rain in the past 24 hours giving the club no alternative but to cancel the meeting. It was one of the club's bigger days of the year, with the feature Ballina Bracelet for the 2yos being run.

Plenty of rain throughout the continent yesterday and over night, with today's Ipswich meeting to be conducted on a heavy racing surface with the rail out 7.5m. Geelong Thorough Track hosts their second meeting of the week, and despite rain around the area, the track will be good for racing this afternoon.

For those doing form for their punting tomorrow, Doomben in Brisbane has had plenty of rain over the past 48 hours, expect a heavy-slow track there. The weather has cleared up in Townsville with no rain falling since late Wednesday night, however a dead-slow track is expected at Cluden Park for their big day tomorrow. Rain in Sydney will mean  racing tomorrow at Canterbury will be held on a slow track, while we can expect a dead-slow surface at Moonee Valley. Newcastle will also be rain affected, although Donald in Victoria hasn't had the rain other parts have endured, they should race on a dead surface given no further precipitation. In SA, Cheltenham will race on a dead track, however rain in Perth, with more forecast for today and tomorrow will probably keep the Belmont Park surface around the slow reading.

Trust this assists punters, best of luck if you are having a punt this Friday afternoon.

Thursday 24 July 2008

Townsville Postponed

The Cleveland Bay Handicap meeting set down for this afternoon has been postponed until next Monday 28 July. The feature, the 1200m Cleveland Bay Handicap will be run on Saturday to coincide with the running of the Townsville Cup with the other 7 races programmed for Monday. This is extreme bad luck for the Club, although what it now does mean, is a massive day for them on Saturday. Saturday's meeting is the first stand alone Saturday meeting with full TAB coverage for the Club, which will now highlight their two feature races of the season. There is no Gold Coast meeting on Saturday, although Doomben will race in Brisbane. It should be a fantastic afternoon for both the locals, plus those who are travelling to Cluden Park from all parts of Australia. Top Victorian jockeys Darren Gauci & Stan Tsaikos will ride in the Cup on Saturday adding some more spice to an already intriguing meeting. Let's hope the rain clouds stay away for the next couple of days so Saturday's meeting can proceed.

Gallop meetings at Wagga Wagga in NSW along with Cranbourne in Victoria this afternoon, both on extremely heavy tracks, so caution must be used by all prospective punters.

Tuesday 22 July 2008

Kilmore Transferred to Geelong

The meeting set down for Kilmore In Victoria this afternoon has been transferred to the Thorough Track at Geelong. Heavy rain over the past 48 hours at Kilmore has made the track not suitable for racing, so a positive decision was made by Racing Victoria late yesterday afternoon to move the meeting. There are  distance changes in several races because Geelong doesn't have starting points at the 2100m, 1600m or 1300m marks. All races today will be held over either 1200m, 1550m, or 1900m.

The promising and well named stayer Red Buttons returns to the track at Geelong this afternoon after a sound effort at Sandown at his most recent outing where he finished 5th beaten only 2.3 lengths over 2400m. The Red Ranson/Funster gelding steps back greatly in class this afternoon, as well as distance which should suit him admirably. Two starts back Red Buttons demolished a maiden field at Cranbourne over 2025m indicating he was a middle distance horse with some promise. A repeat of that performance today, will see him right in the finish again. Although drawn a little awkwardly in barrier 9 after scratchings, Red Buttons should be able to be settled just off the pace by top jockey Brad Rawiller, then let loose in the Geelong straight. Red Buttons does look a class above his rivals today.

The other meeting today will be held on the mid north coast of NSW at Taree, where the track is dead. A massive 10 race program is set down to entice the punter's appetites, with Robert Thompson attempting to break the long standing record for the most number of wins by a jockey in Australia over his entire career. Robert requires only 2 wins to break the record set by name sake, albeit no relation, Jack who rode for 4 decades last century.

Best of luck to Robert, and best of luck to all those punters having a bet this afternoon.

Sunday 20 July 2008

Brilliant Return by Tesbury Jack

A field lacking plenty of depth aside, Tesbury Jack toyed with his rivals yesterday at Caulfield leading all the way to win the WFA Listed Sir John Monash Stakes in comfortable fashion. Darren Gauci had no hesitation to take the gelding straight to the front on jumping, from there on his opponents did not get anywhere near him. If Tesbury Jack can repeat that performance over the next month, then the sprinting WFA races in Melbourne are at his mercy.

Plenty of rain affected tracks around the country this afternoon, with Bendigo (heavy), Hamilton (heavy), Sunshine Coast (heavy) & Hobart (heavy) making punting a difficult assignment. Hawkesbury, Grafton & Kalgoorlie will give punters some solace, however some very tough fields at all three venues.

At Bendigo there are a couple of real up and coming horses attempting to keep excellent winning records in tact. The Darren Weir trained Crown Ruby has now won 4 of her only 5 starts and takes on an RB78 field over 1000m. She is drawn wide however this won't have any affect on such a heavy track as all runners will be heading for the outside fence in the straight. Sebastian Murphy should be able to position Crown Ruby just off the pace, bring her to the outside in the running and she will be hard to beat again. In the following race, Command Prince is attempting to win his 4th in succession, despite jumping up to an RB89 event. He too is drawn wide, however again, this won't have any affect whatsoever and if he can get to the outside fence, then he too will be in the finish today.

Best of luck to all those having a punt this afternoon.

Saturday 19 July 2008

WFA Racing Returns To Caulfield

This afternoon not only do we see Melbourne racing return to The Heath at Caulfield, but we also see a WFA sprint race, a most unusual occurrence for winter time in Melbourne. The 1100m sprint features the resumption from spelling of class sprinter Tesbury Jack, who is also a first up specialist. He looks the class of the field and after having on two other occasions first up, he should start the favourite in the feature race on the Caulfield program.

Plenty of racing around the country with Fannie Bay in Darwin hosting their Derby Day program, Belmont in WA hosting their St Leger Stakes on a heavy track, with some very attractive support meetings at Rosehill Gardens (dead), Eagle Farm (Slow), Gold Coast (slow), & Morphettville (dead).

The good thing of the day looks to be in the last gallop race to be in Australia this evening at Toowoomba on the Darling Downs of Queensland. Top weight Sword Of Damocles has had only two starts for a win and a second, and certainly looks too good for his rivals on paper. At his first run in a  race, he saluted easily in a maiden at Toowoomba over tonight's distance of 1000m, defeating Commizerations who came out and won his maiden by 5 lengths last week. He then went to Caloundra where he ran a close and most creditable second in a Class 1 over the 1000m. Back to his home track tonight, he will be charging home off a fast speed, and should win easily.

Eighto it must be said was a little disappointing yesterday at Seymour. Jockey Michael Rodd eased back toward the rear at the start, which is where he was placed in the run on debut at Geelong. Rodd made his move at the 600m, circling the field, however once in the straight the entire's run had ended and he finished a tired looking 3rd. The run was okay, although a bit more was certainly expected of Lonhro's full brother. Maybe given a spell he will come back better than ever. He may also be now looking for further than the 1400m of yesterday's race. The other significant issue, may well be that form from the Synthetic track at Geelong, does not stand up on regular grass tracks.

Best of luck to all those having a punt around Australia today.

Friday 18 July 2008

Lonnie's Little Brother Returns at Seymour

It is not often we see on a mid winter's Friday afternoon such a blue blood of the Australian turf running around a race track, however that is in fact the case this afternoon at Seymour in Victoria. Eighto, a full brother to multiple Group 1 winners Lonhro & Niello will undertake his second appearance at the races. He is by the great Octagonal out of the magnificent producer Shadea and might we say the expectations are pretty high with him. He has had one outing a fortnight ago, where blew away a field of maidens on the Synthetic Track at Geelong. He sat 5 wide that day, came from almost last, and breezed away to win by over 6 lengths. He obviously has ability, however it is a completely different assignment this afternoon at a wet and windy Seymour. The track is currently rated as slow, however there are showers in the area so the track will deteriorate as the day progresses, with Eighto's event the second last on the program. Not only will Eightoi attack a rain affected track for the first time, he also has barrier 14 to contend with, making his task much more difficulty. He will not be a betting proposition this afternoon, as his odds will be most prohibitive, nevertheless it will be a most interesting watch.

Other meeting's this afternoon include Musswellbrook on a good track, Goulburn also on a good racing surface, along with a meeting being held on the Cushion Track at Corbould Park , Caloundra.

Beswt of luck to all those having a punt this afternoon.

Thursday 17 July 2008

Sensational Win By The Jackal

It is not very often we see such dominance in a a black type race, however yesterday at Grafton The Jackal literally annihilated an extremely strong field in the time honoured Listed Ramornie Handicap over 1200m. Champion jockey Robert Thompson took off early to hit the front at the top of the straight, and The Jackal simply careered away for his second successive Jacaranda sprint victory. Thompson is now within a handful of wins to break the existing all time record for race track winner sin Australia set by the late great Jack Thompson (no relation) some 40 years ago. Shows what a magnificent feat Jack's must have been given the plethora of racing these days that Robert is able to take advantage of. Take nothing away from Robert, he deserves it, after numerous falls and a couple of almost life threatening injuries, he has persisted and continued to dominate the riding ranks in NSW. And let's take nothing away from the Jackal, a sparkling performance to warm punters hearts on a dreary wet winter's afternoon. There could be no hard luck stories out of the Ramornie, as The Jackal was simply too good on the day.

Today we remain at Grafton for the feature meeting with the running of their 2008 Cup over the 2350m. The field this year doesn't look as strong as most years as usually there are good winners from the Brisbane winter carnival competing as well as a few up from Sydney. There looks to be only a few chances in the race this year, with last start Murwillumbah Cup winner Belmonte heading the list. He carried 60.5kg that day, drops to 56kg today, and although stepping up 350m he will be cherry ripe for this afternoon's assignment. Last start Brisbane winner Derivative Receipt also has a chance, however his win came on a rain affected track and he was well beaten by Belmonte at Murwillumbah. Juerga & Bopalula come with Sydney placings at their latest outings giving them good credentials, whilst Scattergun's second in the Caloundra Cup last start also gives him a chance. We expect a big improvement from Hoffmeister this afternoon as he has a class edge on his rivals. He has been crying out for a dry racing surface, and he receives that for the first time this preparation this afternoon. Should be a very exciting race with the weather looking to be very favourable to the CRJC.

Other meetings this afternoon are at Ballarat on a heavy racing surface, Rockhampton on a good track, along with Northam in the west where although fine over the past 24 hours, over an inch of rain fell there on Tuesday.

Best of luck to all those having a punt this Thursday afternoon.

Wednesday 16 July 2008

A Wet Winter's Wednesday

All roads lead to Grafton today for the first day of their annual two day carnival, with the running of the Ramornie Handicap this afternoon. The track at Grafton has come up as dead, however there is rain around the area. In fact, every track in Australia this afternoon will be rain affected, except for Fannie Bay in Darwin where their Cup carnival kicks off. Sandown is heavy, Doomben is slow with more rain on the way so it will be heavy before the first race, Gawler is slow, whilst in Perth, there has been over 25mm since lunch time yesterday meaning the Belmont track will also be slow-heavy.

At Grafton the 1200m Listed feature brings together a very even field, with runners coming north south and west to compete. For some reason Grafton usually favours on pace runners, despite the fact the track encompasses wide expanses in the straight to seemingly give every horse their opportunity. It simply appears difficult for horses to make a lot of ground at the track for some unknown reason. So barriers play a most important role in all races, those drawn wide, needing plenty of luck to figure in the finish. The favourite for the Ramornie is the Gai Waterhouse trained Mr Celestial, who is drawn ideally in barrier 5, will sit right up on the speed, and will certainly look the winner at some stage of the straight. He ran a close second at his most recent outing at Gosford over 1200m behind another rival today in Captain Bax. Unfortunately, the Captain drew diabolically in 18, which gives little or no hope this afternoon. Prior to that he won at Randwick over 1100m and is cherry ripe for the assignment this afternoon. Plenty of other chances in the race, most however have drawn wide, or will get back, with Typhoon Zed who is first up from a spell, The Jackal, last years Ramornie winner, and Mr Hornblower looking the best trifecta hopes.

There is a very nice horse running at Doomben this afternoon in the shape of Crystal Sentinel. The son of Fusaichi Pegasus and QTC Oaks winner Crystal Palace has now chalked up 4 wins from only 11 starts, with 3 seconds to go along with. The track at Doomben today will be well and truly heavy by the time we get to race 5 and this will suit Crystal Sentinel admirably. he has had  2 starts on slow tracks for a win and a second, two starts on heavy going for a win. His mother was born in a swamp, as the day she won the Oaks, the track was an absolute quagmire, so the tack conditions will suit the 3yo entire this afternoon. Last start, his first run forma  spell, he romped home on his home track at Caloundra, winning by a mere 4.5 lengths on the Cushion track. His rivals will certainly have their work cut out for them chasing home the regally bred Crystal Sentinel at Doomben today.

If having a bet at Darwin this afternoon, please remember there will be no Sky Channel coverage of the races there, you will have to view TVN to watch the races. The good thing on the Fannie Bay pr0gram this afternoon looks to be Club Liquid in race 3, who will be attempting to emulate his last start 3 length win over the same course and distance as today's event. He looks the testing material.

Good luck and profitable punting to all those having a bet this afternoon.

Sunday 13 July 2008

Danny Living Up To His Big Sister's Name

Exciting Perth sprint prospect Danny Beau took another step yesterday in his attempt to emulate the feats of his older sister, Miss Andretti. Danny won over 1000m first up from a spell chalking up his 6th win in the WA capitol. Indeed he has plenty to live up to,  however it is far too early to tell how far the 4yo gelding can actually go. He has built up a perfect picket fence next to his name, so will have to tackle the best WA has to offer from here on in. Nevertheless if the arrogance of his win yesterday is any indication, then there are a lot more wins in store for Danny Beau.

Cohort proved far too good for his rivals in the 2200m Belmont Classic. He is head and shoulders above the other 3yos racing around in Perth at present and class prevailed yesterday. Cohort is off for a well earned spell and will resume later in the year for a tilt at the Perth Cup. A couple of most unlucky runners at Belmont yesterday, including the injury prone Arranbrae, who should have won if a little more patience was shown by jockey Jessica Valas. Ken's Double in the last was miraculously trapped 4-5 deep for the entire journey, despite starting from barrier 3. His run was outstanding and will be winning next time out.

Plenty of wet tracks around the country today to test the punters will, along with dirt track racing at Port Augusta in SA. Rippleson has won his last two at the Port in most convincing fashion and he will be hard to beat in the 1200m Open sprint there this afternoon. He beat similar opposition last time out by over 4 lengths off a very fast pace. Given similar circumstances today, he should sit off the leaders and storm home to win again. Samantha Rowley has ridden and won on him in 3 o his past 4 starts and is building a very good rapport with the 6yo gelding. She showed patience beyond her years on Rippleson last start when the leaders went berserk in front, should she will adopt the same tactics this afternoon Rippleson will be too good again.

Best of luck to all those having a punt this afternoon.

Saturday 12 July 2008

Cohort Is A Classic

Not to be confused with a former capable Woodlands horse of the same name, the WA version of of Cohort is certainly taking all before this winter in Perth. The son of champion WA based stallion Scenic, boasts a formidable race record, winning 4 of his past 5 starts since stepping up to distances of his liking. Two starts back he won a  Listed race over 1600m at Belmont before moving up to 2000m last start where he demoralised a good field of 3yos. This afternoon, Cohort steps out in the 3yo Belmont Classic, to be run over 2200m, which should pose little problem for the gelding. The Pontiff, Paul Harvey will ride again, so from barrier 4 he will be able to position Cohort with the box seat run, then allow him to unleash his powerful finishing burst in the straight. There is a bit of rain around Perth this morning, however this won't bother Cohort, as all the Scenic breed love the sting out of the ground. He has beaten all is rivals this afternoon in previous races, so none should prove a stumbling block for Cohort. He looks the best of good things.

Eight other gallop meetings to wet the punters appetite this afternoon, only two Canterbury & the Gold Coast coming up with tracks worse than dead.

The other good thing today looks to be Tisani Boy in race 5 at Toowoomba. He has now won both his only two starts in comfortable fashion at his home track and he will again be hard to beat today. He does step up to a Class 4, however promising apprentice Brent Evans will ride and he has won on the gelding at both his previous starts. First up in a maiden over 1210m, then last time over 1320m, both at Toowoomba.  Drawn perfectly in barrier 2, Evans will give the Lindsay Hatch trained 3yo every hope from there again over the 1310m. Tisani Boy was scratched from a very tough race at Doomben this afternoon, to be saved for this event and looks another banker bet this afternoon

Good luck and profitable punting to all those having a bet this afternoon.

Friday 11 July 2008

Dubbo Off

The meeting scheduled for the Western Districts city of Dubbo this afternoon has been postponed. Very bad luck for the club and the horses trained in the area. There has been little or no TAB meetings in the region in recent weeks, today's cancellation must be making it extremely difficult for owners & trainers.

Still plenty of racing to take punters interest this afternoon, with 10 races on the Thorough Track at Geelong in Victoria, 10 races on a slow track at Ipswich in Queensland, along with an 8 race card at Nowra on the South Coast of NSW.

Best of luck to all those having a punt this afternoon.

Thursday 10 July 2008

Mornington Races Abandoned

The gallop meeting set down for Mornington this afternoon has been abandoned due to the ongoing wet weather and the state of the track. Late yesterday, the track was rated a heavy (10) with the penetrometer reading a massive 7.6! With more heavy rain over night and early this morning, there was no way the meeting could go ahead.

The first day of the Grafton Cup carnival takes place this afternoon at the picturesque Northern Rivers track. The John Carlton Cup, named after the long time race caller for the Clarence River Jockey Club, is today's highlight. On Sunday we see the running of the South Grafton Cup, then Wednesday the time honoured Ramornie Handicap, Thursday the Cup, then the final day the following Sunday. The carnival is always well patronised by both Sydney & Brisbane trainers, this year will be no exception.

Mackay has their feature $50,000 sprint on this afternoon, with their Cup to be run on Saturday. Hawkesbury also race this afternoon on a slow track, along with Northam in the west where there has also been plenty of rain.

Best of luck to all those having a punt this afternoon.

Wednesday 9 July 2008

Leading Country Apprentice To Show His Wares At Gosford

The AJC has transferred their scheduled Warwick Farm meeting today to the delightful Central Coast track at Gosford, where they will race on a dead surface. This has paved the way for top Ballina apprentice Jamie Quinnell to make his first foray into Sydney city class racing. Quinnell is leading the Northern Rivers jockeys premiership and has really come of age since his indentures were transferred to Coffs Harbour mentor Brett Bellamy. With plenty of strong stable support, Jamie has excelled, doing trainer father Phil from Ballina very proud. Jamie has now outridden his claim on country tracks, so has been venturing to the Gold Coast on Saturdays where he is still able to claim 2kg. With today's meeting being classified as a city meeting, Jamie is able to claim 3kg and this will assist in his quest to ride his first city winner in Sydney. He has already landed a double at Doomben in Brisbane two Wednesdays ago, so he is building plenty of experience. Jamie gets his opportunity to score this afternoon in race 3, where he rides the 3yo filly, Graciosa. Jamie has ridden the filly at all 3 of her race starts, for 2 wins and a third. Last start Ballina, Graciosa was beautifully ridden by Jamie, giving nothing else a chance winning easily by almost 2 lengths over 1010m. She jumps to a strong RB72 this afternoon, however the event is restricted to 3yo fillies only, which puts her right in the 1100m race. Graciosa is Jamie's only ride of the day, we wish him all the best in his quest for that initial Sydney winner.

Plenty of rain affected tracks around the country today, with heavy tracks at Sandown & Eagle Farm, a slow track at Cheltenham park, whilst over night rain will certainly mean a dead - slow racing surface in the west at Belmont this afternoon.

Best of luck to all those having a punt today.

Tuesday 8 July 2008

Wagga Wagga Abandoned Today

The race meeting scheduled for Wagga Wagga this afternoon has been abandoned due to rain, and the state of the track. Over 12mm fell on the course overnight and early this morning, so the Murrumbidgee Turf Club made a swift decision in the early hours of this morning to call the meeting off. This early decision gives owners & trainers plenty of time to reorganise themselves, and the club should be congratulated.

Mildura has programmed an 8 race meeting this afternoon. The track is rated as dead, with the rail in the true position.

Good luck to all those having a punt today.

Sunday 6 July 2008

Sunshine Coast Meeting Transferred to the Cushion Track

Following over 30mm of rain being dumped onto Corbould Park yesterday, the SCTF made the positive decision to transfer the meeting to their new Synthetic track. This ensured the meeting will go ahead on a good racing surface. This a great initiative by the club and they should be applauded for their haste in making the decision allowing owners & trainers to continue their normal race day procedures.

Best of luck to Natalie Hole and Moonlight Run in the first at Caloundra this afternoon. Moonie spelled here at Massie Lodge for 5 months after having some hoof and back problems. He is certainly over them now and Natalie believes he can win his maiden this preparation. Cheer him home for the owners this afternoon, as they are a good bunch of people and deserve to snag a win.

Thursday 3 July 2008

Sea The Zulu Warrior To Prove Victorious Again

There would be many an envious trainer around the country after they looked at the imposing record of open class Cluden Park based sprinter Sea Zulu. In fact most trainers would give their newest winter rug if they could boast having one with similar statistics in their own stable. The Olivia Cairns trained 5yo entire has had only 22 race starts, however has amassed 12 victories along with 5 minor placings collecting over $250,000 in prize money along the way. And the horse had never raced outside North Queensland! Amongst his wins has been the Great Northern 2yo sprint, as well as two Cleveland Bay Handicaps, the major sprint in the area. Today, Sea Zulu fronts up at his favourite track for his final hit out before the 2008 version of the time honoured Cleveland Bay. From 16 outings at his home base at Townsville, Sea Zulu has chalked up 12 wins and 3 minor placings, an impeccable record to say the least. He is perfectly placed today over 1200m at WFA, dropping 3.5kg on his latest win at Cluden Park a fortnight ago over 1000m under handicap conditions. If today's event was a handicap, then Sea Zulu would be giving plenty of weight to his rivals, regrettably for them, they are forced to meet at level weights today. Regular jockey Nathan Day will have the entire sitting just off the speed from barrier 2, then given clear running in the straight, he will show his rivals a clean pair of heels to race away with yet another race in Townsville. There are a few up and comers attempting open class for the first time in the race, however they should be receiving 6kg-7gk from Sea Zulu to have any hope of finishing in front of him today.

In other meetings this afternoon, the AJC race at Newcastle, on a good racing the surface, the first time for some months the Broadmeadow track has had a firm track. Cranbourne race on a heavy track in Victoria, with plenty more rain around the area so punters will need to have their wits about them if punting there today. Port Augusta race on the dirt, whilst an attractive meeting in the Avon Valley in WA where Northam host an 8 race program. Paul Harvey is riding there this afternoon and looks to have an impressive book of rides, the best being Kilkenny Jac, Dannis Business & Primate. Punters could do worse than follow The Pontiff at Northam today.

Best of luck and profitable punting to all those having a bet this afternoon.

Tuesday 1 July 2008

Dr Jurd's Jungle Juice Cup Day

There will be plenty of sore heads tomorrow morning in the Hunter Valley following the running one of the highlights of the racing calendar in the area this afternoon. The $25,000 Dr Jurd's Jungle Juice Cup may not be the most prestigious event on the Australian turf calendar, nevertheless it is one of the best patronised days for the NJC who organise the meeting every year at their picturesque Cessnock race course. This year there is an influx of Sydney based trainers attempting to snare some of the lucrative prizemoney on the 9 race program, as well as all the big names from the Newcastle area.

Now, what may you ask is a Dr Jurd's Jungle Juice? Well, some may find this unusual, but, I have in fact had the dubious pleasure  of experiencing some of the good Doctor's finest. The Juice itself rests somewhere between a fine Cab Sav and a flagon of port wine. Almost strawberry in colour, with a thick rambunctious texture, this is not a beverage for the faint hearted. A glass or two, especially in warmer weather, will literally knock your socks off, causing the body to start begging for a shady tree to lay beneath. It is  a treat however, every Australian should try at least once in their life, as this race meeting is one every Australian should experience for themselves, at least once in their life. A crowd of more than 10,000 is expected this afternoon, and plenty of the strawberry elixir will be  thirstily consumed.

As for the racing, the Cup will be run over 1350m and has brought together a strong field. The Lee Curtis trained Zuback won here at Cessnock two runs back over the 1350m at his first run back from a spell. He then failed on very heavy going in town, after leading then becoming bogged down on the fence. Given his track experience, and the fact he will strip fitter from two runs back, he is well drawn and jockey Mark Lister will lead on him, he will be extremely hard to beat. Regrettably by Cup time, most attendees will be further from Planet Earth than the Hubble Space Capsule, most having little or no interest in the happenings on the track. We wish the NJC & the patrons all the best this afternoon, we understand Berocca have set up a stand at the exit gates, they should make a killing.

Racing also this afternoon in SE Victoria at Moe, who race on a heavy track which will be a real test for punters. Best of luck to those having a try down there today.

Monday 30 June 2008

Oliver Calls On The Doctor

Young up and coming Caulfield trainer Luke Oliver has the opportunity to add to his ever improving record at Ararat this afternoon, where he sends around last start winner Dr Schimmell in the Class 1 event. Oliver has been seeing his horses in the winners circle more than often lately and is making a real name for himself in the training ranks, especially with cast offs from other camps. Dr Schimmell was formerly trained by Group 1 winning Flemington mentor Danny O'Brien, however he could quite find the key to the 3yo gelding, despite racing consistently and an excellent placing in a maiden at Moonee Valley in November last year. Following a good long spell, Oliver took over the reigns of well bred O'Reilly gelding, winning easily first up over 1100m at Mortlake two weeks ago. Oliver not only has the knack of having his horses right on the day, he places them extremely well. This afternoon at Ararat, Dr Schimmell steps up a grade, plus an extra 100m, the same distance he placed over at the Valley last year. There does not appear to be a lot of depth in the race, with the exception of top weight Tactics, who placed on a Saturday at Caulfield over 1400m last time out. Benalla trainer Stefan Jokic spelled Tactics following that performance, so we see him first up at Ararat today. If Tactics has left a little fitness at home in the stable, then Dr Schimmell will certainly make him work for victory over the final stages. It really looks a race in two, with most of the other runners out of form, or having raced in weaker company of recent times.

There are 9 other races on the big program this afternoon at Ararat, so plenty for punters to bet on the dead track there. The Peter Moody trained The Castle obtains his best opportunity to break his maiden status in the 1600m event today. He has now had two runs back from a spell, finishing close up on both occasions, indicating he is now looking for the 1600m. He has been beaten by a few smart ones in his 5 start career, including Crabs & Greater Than Great, so this afternoon does look his chance to win one. One notable exception from the meeting is the promising Very Fast, who has been scratched and saved for another day. He is certainly one to keep an eye out for when he next appears.

The other meeting this afternoon emanates from Queanbeyan in NSW where we see a massive 9 event program, giving punters plenty to think about around the tight turning course.

Good luck and profitable punting to all.

Sunday 29 June 2008

Cup Day Today At Murwillumbah

A glorious winter's day has dawned on the Northern Rivers of NSW, where the Murwillumbah Turf Club will today hold their major meeting of the year. Highlighted by the $30,250 2000m Cup with great support from the $20,150 1200m Newmarket Handicap the club will be expecting a big crowd for their feature day. The Cup this year has a strong field of stayers with the Canberra trained Belmonte, former Victorian Alto Adige along with last years COffs Harbour Cup winner Derivative Receipt. Down To Earth was beaten less than 5 lengths in the Ipswich Cup last start, and he will prove very hard to beat as well.

The Newmarket looks  a match race between the two horses who figured in the finish of the prelude a couple of weeks ago. That day, on a heavy rated track Instructed sat off the pace set by Borsha's Warrior, and proved a little too good over the 1310m. Today however, back to 1200m, a much fairer racing surface, Borsha's Warrior should be able to jump to the front and lead once again. This time, he should have enough in hand to hold off Instructed's challenge, as there is also a 1kg turnaround in the weights from their last meeting. Instructed will start form barrier 12 this afternoon, Borsha's Warrior from gate 2 allowing him to obtain a very comfortable lead without using up too much gas. While Instructed will need all the favours from out wide.

There is also a very interesting $10,000 2yo event on the card, with impressive first up winner Ibalance attempting to retain it's unbeaten record. From the strong John Shelton stable at Grafton Ibalance gave nothing else a chance in his debut at his home track over 1100m a fortnight ago, coming from barrier 12 and leading all the way. Given a reproduction of that effort, Ibalance will be very hard to beat again this afternoon.

Friday 20 June 2008

Go Maz Back On Track At Lismore

The epic saga continues tomorrow at Lismore on the Northern Rivers of NSW, where we finally see Go Maz return to the race track. It is now almost 9 months since this rising 6yo son of Gatsby graced the Australian turf, his traumatic career at the races interrupted by the Equine Influenza outbreak.

For those unfamiliar with Maz's story, he was born in Wagga in 2002, unfortunately losing his mother, Belle Hareb when only 2 weeks old. This put him well behind all other foals of his age, with his growth development taking a far longer time than normal. When Maz almost a 2yo, he was sent off to be broken in, after which it was advised he spend some months in the paddock to continue his maturing. During this stint in the paddock, Maz took fright during a horrendous thunder & lightning storm, ran at full speed into a fence post, basically impaling it into his chest. Maz was rushed to the local equine hospital where he was saved from the jaws of death and commenced a long recovery process. He still bares the reminder of this horrific accident, a large, 30cm, "V" shaped scar clearly visible on his chest.  His recovery was from these injuries dramatically halted by a dreadful case of the scours, which again brought Maz within inches of death, a magnificent job was done by surgeons to once again save his life, and after 4 weeks in the hospital, Maz was eventually allowed to leave. Several months in a paddock to recuperate, and Maz was finally ready for his first real preparation, which took place on the Sunshine Coast of Queensland. After a solid 10 week preparation with Maz appearing to cope extremely well, owners were advised to give him another spell to allow for more maturity. So, following another 5 month stint in a paddock so it was that Maz was sent to Ballina in April 2007, in an attempt to finally do what he was bred for, to race against other thoroughbreds. He responded well throughout this preparation, however wet tracks marred his attempts to make it to the races, being accepted for no less than three washed out meetings during the winter of 2007.

Since his last and only appearance at the races in late September 2007, Maz (along with many other equines) took exception to the EI vaccinations and became extremely ill. When he finally started to recover from this latest set back,  a track work accident saw him put  a hoof in a pot hole of the track causing a back injury which has taken nearly 5 months in the paddock to remedy. Now back in full work for over 2 months, Maz was turned out magnificently by well respected Ballina mentor Phil Quinnell in a barrier trial after the last race there on Tuesday over 1000m. Well, Maz did not let his supporters down, despite a very heavy track, he, with top Rivers apprentice Jamie Quinnell aboard, ploughed through the going to record a victory in the trial, leaving a class 4 horse in his wake. This was in fact his second success in a barrier trial, the first coming in July last year at Lismore, just prior to wet tracks and EI interrupting his career.

And so tomorrow, Saturday 21 June 2008, Maz has his second race start at Lismore in a maiden over 1100m. Phil Quinnell is very happy with his progress, however he believes Maz will be better suited over a little further ground. Due to the lack of suitable races tomorrow's hit out will be mainly for experience, on an expected rain affected surface. Nevertheless, Maz showed on Tuesday in the trial that he is fit and ready to race, plus he is able to handle the going. Here's hoping Maz can make a successful albeit long awaited return to the track.

GO MAZ !!

Tuesday 17 June 2008

Borsha's Warrior Will Warm Up Punters

A typical cold and wet winters day across the country today, however a smart 4yo gelding from the sunny Gold Coast should be able to warm the pockets of punters. Borsha's Warrior travels south to Ballina in NSW this afternoon for his mentor Les Kelly to tackle the Sky Channel Gold Cup over 1310m. The smart gelding has an enviable record winning 7 of his only 17 race starts, his most recent effort an effortless 2.3 length victory over the 1200m at his home track in Queensland. The track for today's program has unfortunately come up as heavy, however locals believe it should be closer to slow when the meeting starts around midday due to strong winds over the past 48 hours. The better the track conditions, the better it will be for Borsha's Warrior, although he has had one victory on slow going from only one attempt. He is a speed machine, and will lead from his ideal drawn in barrier 3, so jockey Gary Baker should be able to dictate the tempo of the race in the smallish field. He will only have 5 opponents this afternoon, so with the luxurious weight of a mere 53.5kg, he will have every opportunity to chalk up his initial win in open company. A slow tempo will also assist him to run out a strong 1310m, a distance at which he has not yet been victorious. His main danger will be top weight Special Voyage who starts from the coveted rails draw, however he has a massive 59.5kg to lug on the rain affected surface which should be enough to stop him. Instructed will have to improve after being distanced last start, so everything points to a Borsha's Warrior victory in today's feature at Ballina.

An excellent meeting today also at Cluden Park in Townsville where we see racing hotting up for the carnival at the end of July. The feature there today is a 1630m Open WFA race which will be used as a major lead up to the Cup to be run over the 2100m. Punters will have to be patient for the best bet there today as it comes up in the last race at 4:45pm. The Olivia Cairns locally trained 4yo mare Rock A Lot with Chris Whiteley to ride will be very hard to beat following successive victories at the track last month. She jumps 330m and hasn't raced for 28 days, however with the scratchings the field has fallen away dramatically and there are not too many candidates for her to over come now.  Whiteley should be able to secure a nice run just off the speed, and her quality will see her get home at the finish

Good luck and profitable punting to all.

Saturday 31 May 2008

Marasco v El Presidente

Let's hope the predicted rain steers clear of Belmont Park in Perth this afternoon until after the running of the 1200m WFA  Group 3 Roma Cup. The clash of proven interstate Group 1 winner, Marasco, and 2007 Railway Stakes champion El Presidente is one worth travelling a long way to see. Neither have met each other before, however both equines boast imposing records on the race track. And despite the fact that the 1200m is probably short of both horses best distance, this race sets alight a punters taste for racing on what must be described as a more than uninspiring Saturday.

The Fred Kersely trained Marasco boasts 11 wins from his 23 starts, having 7 of eight attempts at the 1200m. El Presidente has now won 9 races from only 12 starts, with 3 wins from 4 over today's distance. There should be plenty of pace in the race with the likes of Jestatune & Lachino engaged, so this will spread the field out giving the two gun horses the opportunity to show their paralysing finishing bursts. Marasco has had one run back from a speel, for a win at Belmont over the 1200m two weeks ago. El Presidente is first up this afternoon, and no doubt will derive plenty of benefit from the run. With fitness plus a slightly better barrier draw, Marasco is probably the one to beat. However if El Presidente is any where near peak fitness, he will be storming home in the straight. This should be a terrific race.

This afternoon also sees the running of the Group 1 QTC Oaks over 2400m for the 3yo fillies at Eagle Farm in Brisbane. Unfortunately incessant rain has brought the track rating up as heavy for the program, making the punter's task a very difficult one. Heavenly Glow with top country hoop Robert Thompson aboard is attempting to annex their second Oaks Stakes in a month, after the pair combined to win the AJC version at Randwick 4 weeks ago. The rain affected track should assist the filly as she has proven herself adept on this type of surface in the past.

Best of luck to all those punters having a flutter this afternoon.

Friday 22 May 2008

Danz No Monkey, That's For Sure

Popular Gladstone trainer Mark Lehmann is hoping stable star Danzamonkey can improve on his imposing race record in the main WFA sprint over 1050m at Mackay this afternoon. Danzamonkey has belied his name to win 10 of his 21 race starts so far, racking up 8 placings along the way as well. The WFA races in Northern Queesnland are proving very popular especially for consistent winning horses such as Danzamonkey. In a normal handicap, the son of Mapperley's Star would be carrying at least 60kg, 6kg-7kg over the limit. However this afternoon he meets most of his rivals at level weights which gives him the opportunity to notch up another victory. Although he has never started at Mackay, he has won 5 races in distances between 1000m & 1100m, so today's assignment should be no real challenge for him. The hardest to beat will be former Victorian galloper, Don't Tell Tom, who went down by nearly 6 lengths to Danzamonkey at Rockhampton last time out. Today, Tom meets Danzamonkey on 3kg better terms, however that was Danzamonkey's first run back from a spell so he should derive plenty of benefit and improvement from the run. The race should be a great contest as we move ever closer to the major winter racing in North Queensland.

Scone host their major race day of the year this afternoon, where we see the running of the Listed Scone Cup, Listed Dark Jewel for the filies & mares, along with a support program boasting two other $100k races in the Inglis 2yo as well as a Quality sprint over 1000m. Massive fields are the order of the day making it extremely difficult for the punters. Peter Snowden is taking a strong team, including the lightly raced Sung who will contest the Dark Jewel Classic, regrettably she drew very awkwardly and will now have her work cut out. Should be a great days racing to watch.

Support programs at Geelong in Victoria well as in the Nation's Capitol, Canberra, so again plenty to wet the punters appetite's this afternoon.

Good luck to all those having a punt today.

Wednesday 21 May 2008

He's A Class Act All Right

Popular local trainer Kylie Huxtable will be attempting a hat trick of wins with her 4yo gelding He's A Class Act this afternoon at Murray Bridge. Since resuming from a short spell, the brown Perugino gelding has won his only two starts, both at Murray Bridge, the most recent over today's distance of 1600m. Prior to the spell, He's A Class Act had been racing in strong city grade company, acquitting him self admirably without winning. However, returning to his right class, and racing on his home track seems to have done the trick and he has found scintillating form. Last start he demolished a field at Murray Bridge by over 2 lengths, in fact he never looked like losing the race at any stage. He faces a similar line up again today, so given any luck in running, top SA hoop Paul Gatt should have the gelding right in the finish this afternoon. The Clare Lindop mount Bergstrom will be the danger following a nice run in town last start, however he did finish over 3 lengths behind He's A Class Act at Murray Bridge at his previous run.

Plenty of racing around the country this afternoon, where we see rain affected tracks at Sandown & Murray Bridge, good racing surfaces at Ipswich and Rosehill Gardens. There is a very promising mare resuming from a spell at Sandown this afternoon in the form of the Mick Price trained Hanover Fist. Price has accepted and scratched with the mare twice in the last week saving her for this afternoon's first up tilt. Top jockey Craig Newitt will ride, she is certainly one to keep an eye on today.

Best of luck to all those having a punt on this Wednesday.

Tuesday 20 May 2008

Takeover Target, A Marvel

What an absolutely marvellous win by Takeover Target in the Singapore International Sprint on Sunday night. Jay Ford got him across onto the fence early to lead, and seriously, he was never ever going to be beaten from that point. In fact, he was cruising coming around the turn, sprinting away from his accomplished International rivals in the straight. He is an old marvel at 8yo (rising 9yo) and is not only still competitive at the elite level, he continues to defeat the best sprinters in the world. Trainer Joe Janiac is now looking forward to another crack at the two big sprints at Ascot in June, as well as a possible start in France for TT. This is a tremendous story for both Joe, and for all Australians, let's hope TT can continue on his winning way.

Racing at Taree, Pakenham (heavy track) & Townsville this afternoon, however there is not much to warm the cold cockles of a punters winter heart at either venue. Hopefully we can find a couple of winners for tomorrow's meetings, there are certainly plenty from which to choose.

Monday 19 May 2008

Good Luck to Luke Nolen

Group 1 winning jockey Luke Nolen undergoes palate surgery today in Brisbane in the aftermath of his horrific fall on Saturday at Doomben. Nolen was aboard the Bart Cummings trained Antidotes, when attempting to obtain a clear run in the straight, appeared to clip the heels of one of the horses in front of him. The 28 year old was tossed over the falling head of his mount then down  between the horses legs before hitting the turf with great ferocity. As ambulance crews gathered around the unconscious jockey, grave fears were held for his life. However after a long wait he finally came around and was taken to hospital with a drip attached to his arm. A fall this bad is rarely seen, Luke is a very lucky man to still be with us. The extent of his injuries are also amazingly light for such a horrendous fall. He has facial and palate injuries which require surgery, as well as a ligament injury to his knee which will require a full knee reconstruction.

This will mean Luke will be off the riding lists for at least 6 months, probably longer, however this is a far better outlook than one dire prospect that looked imminent on Saturday afternoon.

Best wishes go out to Luke and his family, let's hope he makes a speedy recovery and is back riding before the end of the year.

Saturday 17 May 2008

Friday night Preview

Group 1 Doomben Cup highlights race meetings around Australia tomorrow, as rain threatens to affect several meetings.

Tomorrow is probably the BTC's second biggest day of the year where we see the running of their Cup at WFA, along with  a support program boasting plenty of depth in every race. The Cup itself credits no less than 3 group 1 winners, plus the fact every horse in the race is at least Group or Listed placed so racing should be extremely competitive.

Rain will definitely affect the Adelaide meeting at Morphettville where steady rain has been falling since this morning plus more forecast overnight and in the morning. That meeting will be fortunate to even go ahead. Rain also forecast for Melbourne where we see the running of the Gibson Carmichael Stakes for the 2yos, along with the former Duke of Norfolk Stakes, now called the Ramsden Stakes, and one of only 6 flat races held  in Australia to be run over 3200m in the racing year. That in itself is a sad indictment on the selfless side of the industry promoting sprinting 2yo racing at the expense of more experienced stayers. However as long as some purchasers have millions of dollars to spend at yearling sales to buy the speedy squibs,  and race clubs throw squillions of dollars in prize money at 2 & 3yos then our staying ranks will disappear into the distance over which they were bred to run.

Rosehill Gardens hosts the Listed Civic Stakes tomorrow, whilst Belmont Park in the west sees the return to the track of the mighty Marasco, lumping 60kg in the Listed Bolton Stakes. Marasco will be challenged by a 4yo mare who has now won 7 of her only 9 starts in Special Reserve. That should be a great race to see indeed.

Peter Snowden will tomorrow be chasing his first winner as exclusive trainer for Darley, following the approval of the Woodlands sale yesterday. He has Spinney running around in the Doomben Cup, along with several runners at Rosehill Gardens. Hexameter, who has had only 6 starts might be the omen tip in  race 2, number 4, to be the first of Snowden's winners for Darley.

Inarticulate, who is one of our horses to follow, steps up to an RB86 race at Belmont tomorrow and again will be extremely hard to beat. He has now won 5 races in a row, a feat usually reserved for the top echelon of race horse only, and will be attempting his sixth straight win at Belmont Park tomorrow. There is no reason he won't achieve this feat as he is thriving and improving as every hurdle thrown at him rises. Not ideally drawn in barrier 7, however the small field will assist him in obtaining a nice run, he has the same jockey who won on him last start, Alan Kennedy who claims 2kg, plus has the same course and distance to his liking as his last start 2 length victory. Inarticulate will continue on his winning way tomorrow at Belmont Park.

We have a couple of good things for tomorrow's racing which we will inform our members via email and text message in the morning. One is in the only Group 1 event being held in Australia tomorrow.

Good luck and profitable punting to all those having a flutter tomorrow.

Friday 16 May 2008

Mini Simply Amazing Over The Short Course

Consistent short course sprinter Mini Amazing has the opportunity to improve on his already outstanding strike rate in the 800m Class 4 at Ipswich this afternoon. After only 8 career starts, Mini Amazing has notched up 4 wins and 3 placings in that short period, proving a most consistent galloper for punters to follow over the short courses. All 4 of his wins have come over distances between 800m & 1016m, so he is really becoming a short course specialist. Today's 800m  outing will be his 3rd run back from a spell, so he should now be at peak fitness for the assignment. At his most recent appearance at the Gold Coast over 900m, Mini Amazing ran an extremely close second to Aadelaidee, a top class mare who has been placed in Group & Listed company down south. It is doubtful any of the opposition today would get any where near a horse of Aadelaidee's ability. Drawn the coveted rails barrier, experienced Toowoomba hoop Ronny Goltz to ride, Mini Amazing should improve his already imposing short course record at Ippy this afternoon.

In another intriguing race Saturday city class horses Askew & Dance Girl Dance clash in a mere Class 6 at Ipswich this afternoon. Askew won his last start at the Prime Ministers Cup meeting on the Gold Coast, taking his record to 3 wins from only 9 starts, while first up from a spell, Dance Girl Dance ran a narrow second to Mr Slick at Eagle Farm two Saturdays ago. Neither horse would out of place running at Doomben tomorrow, however their trainers have opted for today's easier option. We doubt either would have expected to bump into such quality opposition at Ippy on a  Friday. Mr Slick provides an excellent form line to compare the two 4yos for this afternoon's clash. Both carried 53kg at their most recent runs against Mr Slick, Askew winning narrowly while  Dance Girl Dance went down narrowly. However, Askew had all the favours with an easy lead that day, while Mr Slick drew the outside fence, had trouble obtaining a clear run in the straight and was finishing all over the top of Askew at the finish, he should have won. The mare was first up from a  spell the day Mr Slick defeated her, so with natural improvement, and given both horses will carry 54kg today, she looks the one to beat. Dance Girl Dance is a very promising mare, who has now won 4 from 7 starts, with 3 seconds. Askew should lead early, however Dance Girl Dance this afternoon from a good draw will get the run of the race and is the testing material.

Extreme bad luck for the Mount Gambier club with rain setting in overnight, the track coming up slow for Cup day today. There are more showers on the way, however this will not dampen the spirits of the local race goers this afternoon. The meeting is not a betting proposition now, however we wish the club well on their biggest day of the year.

Good luck to all those having a punt this afternoon.

Thursday 15 May 2008

All Roads Lead To The Mount

The site of an extinct volcano, highlighted by a magnificent Blue Lake will pale into insignificance at Mount Gambier over the next two days as the historic town hosts it's two cay Cup carnival. Held each year in mid May before the winter rains hit, the rich farming, horticultural & dairy country will come to standstill  whilst the thoroughbred action takes centre stage. Today's meeting is a prelude to the Cup day tomorrow where the town will close and a massive crowd as always is expected at the track. Although not as big as the Warrnambool carnival held earlier this month in Southern Victoria, this is one racing carnival the punting enthusiasts should visit at least once in their lives. Horses are brought from near and far, from Adelaide to Warrnambool to compete in the much revered carnival. The track, which features a dog leg at the 250m mark of the straight, has come up as dead for today meeting. Good luck to the club, the trainers and jockeys as well as all the township for a very successful couple of days.

Other meetings today see a return to Ballarat in Victoria where the rail is out an extraordinary distance. Recent meetings have proven graveyards for punters with a massive leader/on fence bias, so given the rail positioning today, little will change in that regard. We encourage punters to watch a few races before betting as it could be a real trap meeting.

Gosford has come up with a dead track, also with the rail out, so leader bias could well be on the cards at the popular Central Coast venue. Again, we will want to watch a few races before seriously considering having a bet there. Rockhampton has a good track as they move closer to their Cup carnival next month. A strong open sprint is the highlight there, although the scratching of Danzamonkey has spoilt the race just a tad. WA race at Northam in the Avon Valley, a picturesque venue with strong fields. A win at Northam usually sees the horse head to town at their next outing, the form generally stands up well from Northam.

PASS members were treated to a nice winner yesterday in Magical Dane at Balaklava. Paying $2.70 top tote, better at $3.00 top fluctuation, Magical Dane as predicted jumped straight to the front to lead all the way over 1050m. He certainly doesn't want much further, and we probably caught him on the right day against mediocre opposition. Doubt we'll be following up on him next time, unless he strikes another field with little depth.

Good luck to all those having a punt this afternoon around the country.

Wednesday 14 May 2008

Pete, The Profile Of A Winner

Occasionally, we come across some very unusually tagged equines, however it is more than rare to actually find one that has ability. Pete The Profiler is indeed one we are able to place in the "has ability" category despite a name that makes you wince whenever you utter the words. Some might say with a name with which he has been dubbed, he is appropriately placed this afternoon at Belmont Park in WA in a restricted RB75 event. Nevertheless he has won two of his only three starts so now has the thoroughbred racing world at his feet.

Following a most inauspicious debut at Belmont last October where he finished a well beaten 5th over 1000m, astute WA mentor Lou Luciani sent the 3yo gelding for a spell. This break must have done the trick with Pete, as he has come back in scintillating order winning both his two starts since the spell. First up he attacked a 1300m maiden at Northam where he never looked like losing, showing the rise in distance was exactly what he needed. Less than two weeks later, he came out at Northam once again over the 1300m, this time rising in grade against a fairly strong field. It is unusual to see a last start maiden winner come out to win his next assignment, especially in an RB64 event containing horses who are eligible for class 3 and 4 events. Sitting just off the pace in a race with frantic speed, Pete proved far too strong for his older, more experienced & better performed opponents in the straight to win narrowly but convincingly, running over 1.5 seconds faster than his maiden victory. This shows he is a real improver & is able to stand up when asked for that extra effort. Today at Belmont, Pete attacks a restricted 3yo RB75 which looks a perfect step for the up and comer. His opposition this afternoon look far from top grade, and Pete will only have to repeat his last effort to score another victory today. He does step up to 1400m for the first time, however with the same weight as he carried at Northam, the in form Danny Miller to ride, he will be given every opportunity. WA racing is littered with good horses who quickly go through their grades, so it is important punters jump on early when potential is seen. Let's see if the unusually named Pete the Profiler fits into this elite category and can continue on his winning way at Belmont this afternoon.

Plenty of racing this afternoon to wet the punters appetites with Sandown, Balaklava, Kensington (track will be slow), Sunshine Coast, Devonport & Belmont in WA where there has been a good deal of rain over the past few days. We have found a good thing for the meeting at Balaklava in South Australia which will be emailed to our members.

Good luck and profitable punting to all.

TUESDAY 13 May 2008

Shoot First, Ask Questions Now

Atherton trainer Janel Ryan has had her problems with promising middle distance gelding Shoot First, however the problems are not associated with any form of injury to her star galloper. Shoot First lines up at Townsville this afternoon in the Class 6 event over 1400m as a progression toward the major Country Cups in North Queensland. Last year, Shoot First ran a gallant second in the Townsville Cup which will again be his main aim this winter.

However, Ryan has found it very difficult to find races for her charge. Shoot First has had one run back from a well earned spell for a creditable 5th over the 1000m at Townsville 28 days ago. Last week she nominated Shoot First for another 1000m Class 6 at Cluden Park, albeit knowing full well her gelding was looking for much further. So instead of wasting a run over the 1000m, she scratched and waited for today's more suitable affair. There basically has not been any other acceptable races in which Shoot First could compete.

Shoot First loves the Townsville track, having had 12 starts there for 6 wins and 3 placings. Over the 1400m there, amazingly he has had 5 starts for 5 wins, so although a touch short of peak fitness today, he will certainly make his presence felt. The race looks strong this afternoon with plenty of pace from in form Casa Domani who has now won his past two outings at Cluden Park. He will lead again this afternoon so Shoot First should be able to get a nice trail off the speed. The smart Teddy Bare following one run back from a spell will also be very hard to beat and there will also be support for the Roy Chillemi trained Wyoming, along with Mameluke & High Priority. Let's hope Shoot First has a strong hit out so he can progress up in distance in preparation for his Cups campaign.

It must be very frustrating for trainers in the North trying to find the right race for their horses. Ryan is not the only one, we also know of several others who simply cannot find races for their charges.  Questions must be asked of QR now as to scheduling procedures. Maybe QR should be speaking to more trainers to ascertain the type of races that are needed in the area.

There is also a strong Open Handicap over1000m on the program at Townsville this afternoon, where we see the clash of 2007 Cleveland Bay victor Sea Zulu, the Roy Chillemi trained Mr Stevens, locally trained Prince Of Steel  & the in form Truss. If Sea Zulu can handle the drop back to 1000m following his first up 1200m win at the course, he is the one to beat.

Racing today at Canterbury in Sydney and on a slow track at Moe in Victoria. Whilst there doesn't look to be any Kingston Towns running around at either venue, Showcasing deserves a mention from race 3 at Canterbury Park. He is a lightly raced 5yo gelding by Carnegie who is crying out for a middle distance after being thereabouts in two runs back from a spell. Last start over 1600m at Gosford he was left lamenting when the sprint went on at the 800m, and really only picked up in the final 100m to be beaten just over 4 lengths. Today, he is up to 1900m, drops 5kg in weight with the claim for young Daniel Ganderton and looks well placed. Showcasing does have some strong opposition with Sophistication & Full Bench expecting solid support. Top weight Regal Celeb on his day could win this type of race however he has plenty of pudding to carry around and can be hard to catch. Showcasing should get a nice run just off the speed so with his light weight plus the extra fitness he will run a good race at odds.

Just be a little careful if punting at Canterbury this afternoon, as showers & thunderstorms are predicted for Sydney. There is also some showers off the coast of Townsville, so keep an eye on prevailing weather conditions up north as well.

Good luck and profitable punting to all.